The Match
Preview
Sports Mole previews Saturday's Argentine Primera Division clash between Sarmiento and Patronato, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Estudiantes 2-1 Sarmiento
Wednesday, June 15 at 1.30am in Argentine Primera Division
Wednesday, June 15 at 1.30am in Argentine Primera Division
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 12 | Huracan | 13 | 1 | 18 |
| 13 | Sarmiento | 12 | -7 | 18 |
| 14 | Union | 13 | -1 | 17 |
Last Game: Patronato 1-0 Aldosivi
Tuesday, June 14 at 11pm in Argentine Primera Division
Tuesday, June 14 at 11pm in Argentine Primera Division
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 25 | Platense | 13 | -10 | 10 |
| 26 | Patronato | 12 | -13 | 10 |
| 27 | Talleres | 13 | -13 | 8 |
We said: Sarmiento 1-2 Patronato
Both sides have not exactly hit the ground running in the new campaign, managing one win from their three games respectively. However, buoyed by Tuesday's victory, Patronato should head into the weekend with renewed confidence and we are backing them to come away with all three points against the floundering hosts. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sarmiento win with a probability of 44.72%. A draw had a probability of 27.9% and a win for Patronato had a probability of 27.39%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sarmiento win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.38%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.84%) and 2-1 (8.56%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.96%), while for a Patronato win it was 0-1 (9.82%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 3.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Sarmiento would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Sarmiento | Draw | Patronato |
44.72% ( 0.18) | 27.88% ( -0.09) | 27.39% ( -0.08) |
| Both teams to score 45.46% ( 0.2) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
