The Match
Preview
Sports Mole previews Saturday's Argentine Primera Division clash between Patronato and Arsenal Sarandi, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Newell's OB 2-2 Patronato
Monday, July 4 at 11pm in Argentine Primera Division
Monday, July 4 at 11pm in Argentine Primera Division
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 25 | Platense | 13 | -10 | 10 |
| 26 | Patronato | 12 | -13 | 10 |
| 27 | Talleres | 13 | -13 | 8 |
Last Game: Arsenal 2-1 Estudiantes
Monday, July 4 at 9pm in Argentine Primera Division
Monday, July 4 at 9pm in Argentine Primera Division
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 18 | Lanus | 13 | -1 | 14 |
| 19 | Arsenal Sarandi | 12 | 0 | 13 |
| 20 | Independiente | 13 | -4 | 13 |
We said: Patronato 1-2 Arsenal Sarandi
Both of these teams find themselves in the bottom half of the table, and towards the bottom of the league which is why they will be putting plenty of pressure on this particular fixture to get back to winning ways. Despite the fact Patronato have the home advantage, the visitors have not lost in their previous five outings and that should be enough to push them through with momentum alone. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Patronato win with a probability of 48.32%. A draw had a probability of 26.9% and a win for Arsenal Sarandi had a probability of 24.79%.
The most likely scoreline for a Patronato win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.42%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.56%) and 2-1 (8.96%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.58%), while for an Arsenal Sarandi win it was 0-1 (8.84%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 8.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Arsenal Sarandi would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Patronato | Draw | Arsenal Sarandi |
48.32% ( 0.02) | 26.89% ( 0.02) | 24.79% ( -0.04) |
| Both teams to score 46.2% ( -0.07) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
