

| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 5 | Estoril Praia | 1 | 2 | 3 |
| 6 | Boavista | 1 | 1 | 3 |
| 7 | Gil Vicente | 1 | 1 | 3 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 9 | Vizela | 1 | 1 | 3 |
| 10 | Santa Clara | 1 | 0 | 1 |
| 11 | Casa Pia | 2 | -1 | 1 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Boavista win with a probability of 44.55%. A win for Santa Clara had a probability of 28.02% and a draw had a probability of 27.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Boavista win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.75%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.69%) and 2-0 (8.61%). The likeliest Santa Clara win was 0-1 (9.54%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.87%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Boavista would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Boavista | Draw | Santa Clara |
| 44.55% ( | 27.43% ( | 28.02% ( |
| Both teams to score 47.08% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 41.96% ( | 58.04% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 21.28% ( | 78.72% ( |
| Boavista Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.07% ( | 25.93% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 39.07% ( | 60.93% ( |
| Santa Clara Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 63.56% ( | 36.44% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 26.78% ( | 73.22% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Boavista | Draw | Santa Clara |
| 1-0 @ 12.75% ( 2-1 @ 8.69% ( 2-0 @ 8.61% ( 3-1 @ 3.91% ( 3-0 @ 3.87% ( 3-2 @ 1.97% ( 4-1 @ 1.32% ( 4-0 @ 1.31% ( Other @ 2.12% Total : 44.54% | 1-1 @ 12.87% ( 0-0 @ 9.45% ( 2-2 @ 4.39% ( Other @ 0.72% Total : 27.43% | 0-1 @ 9.54% ( 1-2 @ 6.5% ( 0-2 @ 4.82% ( 1-3 @ 2.19% ( 0-3 @ 1.62% ( 2-3 @ 1.48% ( Other @ 1.88% Total : 28.02% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Sporting Lisbon | 23 | 16 | 5 | 2 | 61 | 20 | 41 | 53 |
| 2 | Benfica | 23 | 17 | 2 | 4 | 53 | 18 | 35 | 53 |
| 3 | Porto | 24 | 15 | 5 | 4 | 49 | 19 | 30 | 50 |
| 4 | Braga | 24 | 14 | 5 | 5 | 40 | 22 | 18 | 47 |
| 5 | Santa ClaraSanta Clara | 24 | 12 | 3 | 9 | 25 | 24 | 1 | 39 |
| 6 | Casa Pia | 24 | 10 | 6 | 8 | 30 | 29 | 1 | 36 |
| 7 | Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes | 24 | 8 | 11 | 5 | 32 | 26 | 6 | 35 |
| 8 | Estoril PraiaEstoril | 23 | 9 | 7 | 7 | 30 | 35 | -5 | 34 |
| 9 | FamalicaoFamalicao | 24 | 7 | 10 | 7 | 27 | 26 | 1 | 31 |
| 10 | Rio AveRio Ave | 24 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 27 | 39 | -12 | 29 |
| 11 | MoreirenseMoreirense | 24 | 7 | 6 | 11 | 29 | 36 | -7 | 27 |
| 12 | Nacional | 24 | 7 | 5 | 12 | 23 | 32 | -9 | 26 |
| 13 | AroucaArouca | 24 | 6 | 7 | 11 | 23 | 38 | -15 | 25 |
| 14 | AVS | 24 | 4 | 11 | 9 | 20 | 34 | -14 | 23 |
| 15 | Gil Vicente | 23 | 5 | 7 | 11 | 23 | 35 | -12 | 22 |
| 16 | Estrela Amadora | 24 | 5 | 7 | 12 | 20 | 35 | -15 | 22 |
| 17 | SC FarenseFarense | 24 | 3 | 7 | 14 | 15 | 34 | -19 | 16 |
| 18 | BoavistaBoavista | 24 | 3 | 6 | 15 | 15 | 40 | -25 | 15 |
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