| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 15 | Arouca | 33 | -22 | 31 | 
| 16 | Moreirense | 33 | -17 | 29 | 
| 17 | Tondela | 34 | -26 | 28 | 
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 8 | Maritimo | 33 | -3 | 38 | 
| 9 | Boavista | 34 | -13 | 38 | 
| 10 | Portimonense | 34 | -14 | 38 | 
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Moreirense win with a probability of 46.04%. A win for Boavista had a probability of 27.56% and a draw had a probability of 26.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Moreirense win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.87%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.04%) and 2-0 (8.58%). The likeliest Boavista win was 0-1 (8.67%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.51%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 6.6% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Moreirense | Draw | Boavista | 
| 46.04% | 26.39% | 27.56% | 
| Both teams to score 49.77% | 
| Goals | 
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 
| 45.56% | 54.43% | 
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 | 
| 24.2% | 75.8% | 
| Moreirense Goals | 
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 | 
| 76.4% | 23.6% | 
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 42.33% | 57.67% | 
| Boavista Goals | 
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 | 
| 65.14% | 34.86% | 
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 28.4% | 71.6% | 
| Score Analysis | 
| Moreirense | Draw | Boavista | 
| 1-0 @ 11.87% 2-1 @ 9.04% 2-0 @ 8.58% 3-1 @ 4.35% 3-0 @ 4.13% 3-2 @ 2.29% 4-1 @ 1.57% 4-0 @ 1.49% Other @ 2.72% Total : 46.04%  | 1-1 @ 12.51% 0-0 @ 8.23% 2-2 @ 4.76% Other @ 0.89% Total : 26.39%  | 0-1 @ 8.67% 1-2 @ 6.6% 0-2 @ 4.57% 1-3 @ 2.32% 2-3 @ 1.67% 0-3 @ 1.61% Other @ 2.13% Total : 27.56%  | 
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Benfica | 13 | 12 | 1 | 0 | 37 | 7 | 30 | 37 | 
| 2 | Porto | 13 | 9 | 2 | 2 | 31 | 9 | 22 | 29 | 
| 3 | Braga | 13 | 9 | 1 | 3 | 29 | 12 | 17 | 28 | 
| 4 | Sporting Lisbon | 13 | 8 | 1 | 4 | 26 | 15 | 11 | 25 | 
| 5 | Casa Pia | 13 | 7 | 2 | 4 | 13 | 10 | 3 | 23 | 
| 6 | Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes | 13 | 7 | 2 | 4 | 14 | 13 | 1 | 23 | 
| 7 | PortimonensePortimonense | 13 | 6 | 1 | 6 | 12 | 14 | -2 | 19 | 
| 8 | ChavesChaves | 13 | 5 | 4 | 4 | 13 | 16 | -3 | 19 | 
| 9 | AroucaArouca | 13 | 5 | 4 | 4 | 14 | 19 | -5 | 19 | 
| 10 | Rio AveRio Ave | 13 | 5 | 3 | 5 | 16 | 18 | -2 | 18 | 
| 11 | BoavistaBoavista | 13 | 5 | 2 | 6 | 14 | 23 | -9 | 17 | 
| 12 | Estoril PraiaEstoril | 13 | 4 | 4 | 5 | 14 | 18 | -4 | 16 | 
| 13 | Vizela | 13 | 4 | 3 | 6 | 11 | 13 | -2 | 15 | 
| 14 | Santa ClaraSanta Clara | 13 | 3 | 4 | 6 | 11 | 13 | -2 | 13 | 
| 15 | FamalicaoFamalicao | 13 | 3 | 2 | 8 | 11 | 18 | -7 | 11 | 
| 16 | Gil Vicente | 13 | 2 | 3 | 8 | 11 | 21 | -10 | 9 | 
| 17 | Maritimo | 13 | 1 | 3 | 9 | 8 | 27 | -19 | 6 | 
| 18 | Pacos de FerreiraPacos de Ferreira | 13 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 7 | 26 | -19 | 2 | 
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