Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Netherlands win with a probability of 73.3%. A draw had a probability of 16.5% and a win for Qatar had a probability of 10.15%.

The most likely scoreline for a Netherlands win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.24%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.3%) and 3-0 (9.7%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.85%), while for a Qatar win it was 0-1 (3.3%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 12.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted a 2-0 win for Netherlands in this match.