Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Vitoria de Guimaraes win with a probability of 45.77%. A win for Moreirense had a probability of 27.68% and a draw had a probability of 26.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Vitoria de Guimaraes win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.99%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.99%) and 0-2 (8.57%). The likeliest Moreirense win was 1-0 (8.8%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.57%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 12% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Vitoria de Guimaraes in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Vitoria de Guimaraes.
Result | ||
Moreirense | Draw | Vitoria de Guimaraes |
27.68% | 26.55% | 45.77% |
Both teams to score 49.4% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
45.05% | 54.95% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
23.77% | 76.23% |
Moreirense Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
64.96% | 35.04% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
28.21% | 71.79% |
Vitoria de Guimaraes Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
76.05% | 23.95% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
41.82% | 58.18% |
Score Analysis |
Moreirense | Draw | Vitoria de Guimaraes |
1-0 @ 8.8% 2-1 @ 6.6% 2-0 @ 4.62% 3-1 @ 2.31% 3-2 @ 1.65% 3-0 @ 1.61% Other @ 2.1% Total : 27.68% | 1-1 @ 12.57% 0-0 @ 8.39% 2-2 @ 4.71% Other @ 0.86% Total : 26.54% | 0-1 @ 11.99% 1-2 @ 8.99% 0-2 @ 8.57% 1-3 @ 4.28% 0-3 @ 4.08% 2-3 @ 2.25% 1-4 @ 1.53% 0-4 @ 1.46% Other @ 2.62% Total : 45.77% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Porto | 34 | 29 | 4 | 1 | 86 | 22 | 64 | 91 |
2 | Sporting Lisbon | 34 | 27 | 4 | 3 | 73 | 23 | 50 | 85 |
3 | Benfica | 34 | 23 | 5 | 6 | 78 | 30 | 48 | 74 |
4 | Braga | 34 | 19 | 8 | 7 | 52 | 31 | 21 | 65 |
5 | Gil Vicente | 34 | 13 | 12 | 9 | 47 | 42 | 5 | 51 |
6 | Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes | 34 | 13 | 9 | 12 | 50 | 41 | 9 | 48 |
7 | Santa ClaraSanta Clara | 34 | 9 | 13 | 12 | 38 | 54 | -16 | 40 |
8 | FamalicaoFamalicao | 34 | 9 | 12 | 13 | 45 | 51 | -6 | 39 |
9 | Estoril PraiaEstoril | 34 | 9 | 12 | 13 | 36 | 43 | -7 | 39 |
10 | Maritimo | 34 | 9 | 11 | 14 | 39 | 44 | -5 | 38 |
11 | BoavistaBoavista | 34 | 7 | 17 | 10 | 39 | 52 | -13 | 38 |
12 | PortimonensePortimonense | 34 | 10 | 8 | 16 | 31 | 45 | -14 | 38 |
13 | Pacos de FerreiraPacos de Ferreira | 34 | 9 | 11 | 14 | 29 | 44 | -15 | 38 |
14 | Vizela | 34 | 7 | 12 | 15 | 37 | 58 | -21 | 33 |
15 | AroucaArouca | 34 | 7 | 10 | 17 | 30 | 54 | -24 | 31 |
16 | MoreirenseMoreirense | 34 | 7 | 8 | 19 | 33 | 51 | -18 | 29 |
17 | TondelaTondela | 34 | 7 | 7 | 20 | 41 | 67 | -26 | 28 |
18 | BelenensesBelenenses | 34 | 5 | 11 | 18 | 23 | 55 | -32 | 26 |
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