

| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 5 | Gil Vicente | 33 | 10 | 51 | 
| 6 | Vitoria de Guimaraes | 33 | 4 | 45 | 
| 7 | Santa Clara | 34 | -16 | 40 | 
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 11 | Pacos de Ferreira | 34 | -15 | 38 | 
| 12 | Famalicao | 33 | -7 | 36 | 
| 13 | Estoril Praia | 33 | -9 | 36 | 
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Vitoria de Guimaraes win with a probability of 51.24%. A win for Famalicao had a probability of 24.86% and a draw had a probability of 23.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Vitoria de Guimaraes win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.09%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.67%) and 2-0 (8.64%). The likeliest Famalicao win was 0-1 (6.6%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.29%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Vitoria de Guimaraes would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Vitoria de Guimaraes | Draw | Famalicao | 
| 51.24% | 23.9% | 24.86% | 
| Both teams to score 55.17% | 
| Goals | 
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 
| 53.77% | 46.23% | 
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 | 
| 31.48% | 68.52% | 
| Vitoria de Guimaraes Goals | 
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 | 
| 81.94% | 18.06% | 
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 51.03% | 48.97% | 
| Famalicao Goals | 
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 | 
| 67.33% | 32.67% | 
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 30.78% | 69.22% | 
| Score Analysis | 
| Vitoria de Guimaraes | Draw | Famalicao | 
| 1-0 @ 10.09% 2-1 @ 9.67% 2-0 @ 8.64% 3-1 @ 5.52% 3-0 @ 4.93% 3-2 @ 3.09% 4-1 @ 2.36% 4-0 @ 2.11% 4-2 @ 1.32% Other @ 3.51% Total : 51.23%  | 1-1 @ 11.29% 0-0 @ 5.9% 2-2 @ 5.41% 3-3 @ 1.15% Other @ 0.15% Total : 23.9%  | 0-1 @ 6.6% 1-2 @ 6.32% 0-2 @ 3.69% 1-3 @ 2.36% 2-3 @ 2.02% 0-3 @ 1.38% Other @ 2.5% Total : 24.86%  | 
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Sporting Lisbon | 8 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 17 | 7 | 10 | 22 | 
| 2 | Benfica | 8 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 18 | 7 | 11 | 21 | 
| 3 | Porto | 8 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 11 | 6 | 5 | 19 | 
| 4 | Braga | 8 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 20 | 14 | 6 | 16 | 
| 5 | Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes | 8 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 12 | 10 | 2 | 16 | 
| 6 | BoavistaBoavista | 8 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 18 | 13 | 5 | 15 | 
| 7 | FamalicaoFamalicao | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 8 | 8 | 0 | 12 | 
| 8 | MoreirenseMoreirense | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 11 | 10 | 1 | 11 | 
| 9 | Gil Vicente | 8 | 3 | 0 | 5 | 18 | 15 | 3 | 9 | 
| 10 | Casa Pia | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 7 | 7 | 0 | 9 | 
| 11 | Estrela Amadora | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 8 | 12 | -4 | 8 | 
| 12 | PortimonensePortimonense | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 9 | 18 | -9 | 8 | 
| 13 | SC FarenseFarense | 8 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 11 | 11 | 0 | 7 | 
| 14 | ChavesChaves | 8 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 12 | 21 | -9 | 7 | 
| 15 | Vizela | 8 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 10 | 14 | -4 | 6 | 
| 16 | AroucaArouca | 8 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 9 | 13 | -4 | 6 | 
| 17 | Rio AveRio Ave | 8 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 6 | 14 | -8 | 5 | 
| 18 | Estoril PraiaEstoril | 8 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 14 | 19 | -5 | 4 | 
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