| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 11 | Pacos de Ferreira | 34 | -15 | 38 |
| 12 | Famalicao | 33 | -7 | 36 |
| 13 | Estoril Praia | 33 | -9 | 36 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 3 | Benfica | 33 | 47 | 71 |
| 4 | Braga | 32 | 20 | 62 |
| 5 | Gil Vicente | 33 | 10 | 51 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Famalicao win with a probability of 37.43%. A win for Braga had a probability of 35.34% and a draw had a probability of 27.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Famalicao win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.67%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.09%) and 2-0 (6.69%). The likeliest Braga win was 0-1 (10.3%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.91%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Famalicao would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Famalicao | Draw | Braga |
| 37.43% ( | 27.23% ( | 35.34% ( |
| Both teams to score 50.14% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 44.67% ( | 55.33% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 23.46% ( | 76.54% ( |
| Famalicao Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.45% ( | 28.55% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 35.66% ( | 64.34% ( |
| Braga Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.17% ( | 29.83% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 34.09% ( | 65.91% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Famalicao | Draw | Braga |
| 1-0 @ 10.67% ( 2-1 @ 8.09% ( 2-0 @ 6.69% ( 3-1 @ 3.38% ( 3-0 @ 2.8% ( 3-2 @ 2.05% ( 4-1 @ 1.06% ( Other @ 2.69% Total : 37.43% | 1-1 @ 12.91% ( 0-0 @ 8.52% ( 2-2 @ 4.9% ( Other @ 0.91% Total : 27.23% | 0-1 @ 10.3% ( 1-2 @ 7.81% ( 0-2 @ 6.23% ( 1-3 @ 3.15% ( 0-3 @ 2.51% ( 2-3 @ 1.97% ( 1-4 @ 0.95% ( Other @ 2.4% Total : 35.33% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Benfica | 20 | 17 | 2 | 1 | 51 | 12 | 39 | 53 |
| 2 | Porto | 19 | 14 | 3 | 2 | 45 | 11 | 34 | 45 |
| 3 | Braga | 19 | 14 | 1 | 4 | 43 | 19 | 24 | 43 |
| 4 | Sporting Lisbon | 18 | 11 | 2 | 5 | 38 | 19 | 19 | 35 |
| 5 | Casa Pia | 19 | 9 | 3 | 7 | 18 | 20 | -2 | 30 |
| 6 | Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes | 19 | 9 | 3 | 7 | 18 | 20 | -2 | 30 |
| 7 | AroucaArouca | 19 | 7 | 6 | 6 | 23 | 29 | -6 | 27 |
| 8 | ChavesChaves | 19 | 6 | 7 | 6 | 19 | 24 | -5 | 25 |
| 9 | BoavistaBoavista | 18 | 7 | 4 | 7 | 22 | 29 | -7 | 25 |
| 10 | Vizela | 19 | 7 | 3 | 9 | 22 | 20 | 2 | 24 |
| 11 | Rio AveRio Ave | 18 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 18 | 23 | -5 | 21 |
| 12 | FamalicaoFamalicao | 19 | 6 | 3 | 10 | 18 | 27 | -9 | 21 |
| 13 | PortimonensePortimonense | 18 | 6 | 2 | 10 | 15 | 25 | -10 | 20 |
| 14 | Estoril PraiaEstoril | 18 | 5 | 4 | 9 | 16 | 23 | -7 | 19 |
| 15 | Gil Vicente | 19 | 5 | 4 | 10 | 19 | 27 | -8 | 19 |
| 16 | Santa ClaraSanta Clara | 19 | 3 | 6 | 10 | 14 | 25 | -11 | 15 |
| 17 | Maritimo | 19 | 3 | 4 | 12 | 12 | 35 | -23 | 13 |
| 18 | Pacos de FerreiraPacos de Ferreira | 19 | 2 | 3 | 14 | 12 | 35 | -23 | 9 |
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