| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 9 | Boavista | 34 | -13 | 38 |
| 10 | Portimonense | 34 | -14 | 38 |
| 11 | Pacos de Ferreira | 34 | -15 | 38 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 11 | Pacos de Ferreira | 34 | -15 | 38 |
| 12 | Famalicao | 33 | -7 | 36 |
| 13 | Estoril Praia | 33 | -9 | 36 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Portimonense win with a probability of 38.54%. A win for Famalicao had a probability of 34.74% and a draw had a probability of 26.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Portimonense win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.32%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.33%) and 2-0 (6.77%). The likeliest Famalicao win was 0-1 (9.69%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.7%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Portimonense in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Portimonense.
| Result | ||
| Portimonense | Draw | Famalicao |
| 38.54% | 26.72% | 34.74% |
| Both teams to score 51.7% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 46.67% | 53.33% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 25.13% | 74.87% |
| Portimonense Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.04% | 26.96% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 37.7% | 62.3% |
| Famalicao Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.78% | 29.22% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 34.83% | 65.16% |
| Score Analysis |
| Portimonense | Draw | Famalicao |
| 1-0 @ 10.32% 2-1 @ 8.33% 2-0 @ 6.77% 3-1 @ 3.64% 3-0 @ 2.96% 3-2 @ 2.24% 4-1 @ 1.19% 4-0 @ 0.97% Other @ 2.13% Total : 38.54% | 1-1 @ 12.7% 0-0 @ 7.88% 2-2 @ 5.12% 3-3 @ 0.92% Other @ 0.1% Total : 26.72% | 0-1 @ 9.69% 1-2 @ 7.82% 0-2 @ 5.96% 1-3 @ 3.21% 0-3 @ 2.45% 2-3 @ 2.1% 1-4 @ 0.99% Other @ 2.53% Total : 34.74% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Benfica | 21 | 18 | 2 | 1 | 54 | 13 | 41 | 56 |
| 2 | Porto | 21 | 16 | 3 | 2 | 48 | 12 | 36 | 51 |
| 3 | Braga | 21 | 16 | 1 | 4 | 47 | 20 | 27 | 49 |
| 4 | Sporting Lisbon | 21 | 13 | 2 | 6 | 43 | 23 | 20 | 41 |
| 5 | Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes | 21 | 10 | 4 | 7 | 19 | 20 | -1 | 34 |
| 6 | Casa Pia | 21 | 9 | 5 | 7 | 18 | 20 | -2 | 32 |
| 7 | AroucaArouca | 21 | 8 | 6 | 7 | 24 | 31 | -7 | 30 |
| 8 | FamalicaoFamalicao | 22 | 8 | 3 | 11 | 22 | 29 | -7 | 27 |
| 9 | Vizela | 21 | 7 | 5 | 9 | 23 | 21 | 2 | 26 |
| 10 | ChavesChaves | 21 | 6 | 8 | 7 | 21 | 27 | -6 | 26 |
| 11 | BoavistaBoavista | 21 | 7 | 5 | 9 | 24 | 34 | -10 | 26 |
| 12 | PortimonensePortimonense | 22 | 8 | 2 | 12 | 18 | 28 | -10 | 26 |
| 13 | Rio AveRio Ave | 21 | 6 | 6 | 9 | 20 | 25 | -5 | 24 |
| 14 | Gil Vicente | 21 | 6 | 5 | 10 | 21 | 28 | -7 | 23 |
| 15 | Estoril PraiaEstoril | 21 | 6 | 4 | 11 | 19 | 29 | -10 | 22 |
| 16 | Santa ClaraSanta Clara | 21 | 3 | 6 | 12 | 15 | 29 | -14 | 15 |
| 17 | Maritimo | 21 | 3 | 4 | 14 | 14 | 39 | -25 | 13 |
| 18 | Pacos de FerreiraPacos de Ferreira | 21 | 3 | 3 | 15 | 15 | 37 | -22 | 12 |
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