Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Famalicao win with a probability of 61.33%. A draw had a probability of 22.4% and a win for Portimonense had a probability of 16.28%.
The most likely scoreline for a Famalicao win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.97%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.86%) and 2-1 (9.69%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.6%), while for a Portimonense win it was 0-1 (5.8%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 13% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Famalicao in this match.
| Result | ||
| Famalicao | Draw | Portimonense |
| 61.33% ( | 22.39% ( | 16.28% ( |
| Both teams to score 46.85% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 49.28% ( | 50.71% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 27.38% ( | 72.62% ( |
| Famalicao Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 83.92% ( | 16.07% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 54.54% ( | 45.46% ( |
| Portimonense Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 55.83% ( | 44.17% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 19.73% | 80.26% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Famalicao | Draw | Portimonense |
| 1-0 @ 12.97% 2-0 @ 11.86% 2-1 @ 9.69% 3-0 @ 7.23% ( 3-1 @ 5.91% ( 4-0 @ 3.3% ( 4-1 @ 2.7% ( 3-2 @ 2.41% ( 5-0 @ 1.21% ( 4-2 @ 1.1% 5-1 @ 0.99% ( Other @ 1.95% Total : 61.32% | 1-1 @ 10.6% 0-0 @ 7.1% ( 2-2 @ 3.96% Other @ 0.72% Total : 22.38% | 0-1 @ 5.8% ( 1-2 @ 4.33% ( 0-2 @ 2.37% ( 1-3 @ 1.18% 2-3 @ 1.08% Other @ 1.52% Total : 16.28% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Benfica | 28 | 23 | 2 | 3 | 68 | 17 | 51 | 71 |
| 2 | Porto | 28 | 21 | 4 | 3 | 60 | 19 | 41 | 67 |
| 3 | Braga | 27 | 20 | 2 | 5 | 60 | 24 | 36 | 62 |
| 4 | Sporting Lisbon | 27 | 18 | 3 | 6 | 56 | 26 | 30 | 57 |
| 5 | AroucaArouca | 27 | 12 | 8 | 7 | 31 | 32 | -1 | 44 |
| 6 | Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes | 28 | 12 | 5 | 11 | 27 | 33 | -6 | 41 |
| 7 | FamalicaoFamalicao | 28 | 12 | 3 | 13 | 30 | 35 | -5 | 39 |
| 8 | Vizela | 27 | 11 | 5 | 11 | 31 | 28 | 3 | 38 |
| 9 | Casa Pia | 27 | 11 | 5 | 11 | 26 | 31 | -5 | 38 |
| 10 | ChavesChaves | 28 | 9 | 9 | 10 | 28 | 33 | -5 | 36 |
| 11 | Rio AveRio Ave | 27 | 9 | 7 | 11 | 27 | 31 | -4 | 34 |
| 12 | BoavistaBoavista | 27 | 9 | 6 | 12 | 32 | 45 | -13 | 33 |
| 13 | Gil Vicente | 27 | 8 | 7 | 12 | 26 | 32 | -6 | 31 |
| 14 | PortimonensePortimonense | 28 | 9 | 3 | 16 | 21 | 35 | -14 | 30 |
| 15 | Estoril PraiaEstoril | 28 | 7 | 4 | 17 | 23 | 44 | -21 | 25 |
| 16 | Maritimo | 28 | 6 | 4 | 18 | 24 | 51 | -27 | 22 |
| 17 | Pacos de FerreiraPacos de Ferreira | 28 | 4 | 5 | 19 | 21 | 49 | -28 | 17 |
| 18 | Santa ClaraSanta Clara | 28 | 3 | 6 | 19 | 18 | 44 | -26 | 15 |
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