Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Portimonense win with a probability of 52.27%. A draw had a probability of 25.5% and a win for Maritimo had a probability of 22.24%.
The most likely scoreline for a Portimonense win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.1%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.2%) and 2-1 (9.36%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.03%), while for a Maritimo win it was 0-1 (7.73%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Portimonense would win this match.
Result | ||
Portimonense | Draw | Maritimo |
52.27% (![]() | 25.5% (![]() | 22.24% (![]() |
Both teams to score 47.4% (![]() |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
44.96% (![]() | 55.04% (![]() |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
23.7% (![]() | 76.3% (![]() |
Portimonense Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
78.91% (![]() | 21.09% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
46.09% (![]() | 53.91% (![]() |
Maritimo Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
60.07% (![]() | 39.93% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
23.41% (![]() | 76.59% (![]() |
Score Analysis |
Portimonense | Draw | Maritimo |
1-0 @ 13.1% 2-0 @ 10.2% ( ![]() 2-1 @ 9.36% ( ![]() 3-0 @ 5.29% ( ![]() 3-1 @ 4.86% ( ![]() 3-2 @ 2.23% ( ![]() 4-0 @ 2.06% ( ![]() 4-1 @ 1.89% ( ![]() Other @ 3.27% Total : 52.26% | 1-1 @ 12.03% 0-0 @ 8.42% ( ![]() 2-2 @ 4.3% Other @ 0.75% Total : 25.5% | 0-1 @ 7.73% (![]() 1-2 @ 5.52% ( ![]() 0-2 @ 3.55% ( ![]() 1-3 @ 1.69% ( ![]() 2-3 @ 1.32% 0-3 @ 1.09% ( ![]() Other @ 1.35% Total : 22.24% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Benfica | 27 | 23 | 2 | 2 | 68 | 16 | 52 | 71 |
2 | Porto | 27 | 20 | 4 | 3 | 58 | 18 | 40 | 64 |
3 | Braga | 27 | 20 | 2 | 5 | 60 | 24 | 36 | 62 |
4 | Sporting Lisbon | 26 | 17 | 3 | 6 | 52 | 23 | 29 | 54 |
5 | AroucaArouca | 27 | 12 | 8 | 7 | 31 | 32 | -1 | 44 |
6 | Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes | 27 | 12 | 5 | 10 | 26 | 31 | -5 | 41 |
7 | Vizela | 27 | 11 | 5 | 11 | 31 | 28 | 3 | 38 |
8 | Casa Pia | 26 | 11 | 5 | 10 | 23 | 27 | -4 | 38 |
9 | FamalicaoFamalicao | 27 | 11 | 3 | 13 | 28 | 34 | -6 | 36 |
10 | Rio AveRio Ave | 27 | 9 | 7 | 11 | 27 | 31 | -4 | 34 |
11 | BoavistaBoavista | 27 | 9 | 6 | 12 | 32 | 45 | -13 | 33 |
12 | ChavesChaves | 26 | 8 | 8 | 10 | 27 | 33 | -6 | 32 |
13 | Gil Vicente | 26 | 8 | 6 | 12 | 26 | 32 | -6 | 30 |
14 | PortimonensePortimonense | 27 | 8 | 3 | 16 | 20 | 35 | -15 | 27 |
15 | Estoril PraiaEstoril | 27 | 7 | 4 | 16 | 23 | 43 | -20 | 25 |
16 | Maritimo | 27 | 5 | 4 | 18 | 21 | 50 | -29 | 19 |
17 | Pacos de FerreiraPacos de Ferreira | 27 | 4 | 5 | 18 | 20 | 46 | -26 | 17 |
18 | Santa ClaraSanta Clara | 27 | 3 | 6 | 18 | 17 | 42 | -25 | 15 |
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