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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Los Angeles Galaxy win with a probability of 39.94%. A win for Houston Dynamo had a probability of 35.71% and a draw had a probability of 24.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Los Angeles Galaxy win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.66%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.8%) and 0-2 (6%). The likeliest Houston Dynamo win was 2-1 (8.12%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.25%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 2.5% likelihood.
Result | ||
Houston Dynamo | Draw | Los Angeles Galaxy |
35.71% (![]() | 24.35% (![]() | 39.94% (![]() |
Both teams to score 59.99% (![]() |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
57.27% (![]() | 42.73% (![]() |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
34.87% (![]() | 65.13% (![]() |
Houston Dynamo Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
76.38% (![]() | 23.62% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
42.29% (![]() | 57.71% (![]() |
Los Angeles Galaxy Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
78.54% (![]() | 21.46% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
45.51% (![]() | 54.49% |
Score Analysis |
Houston Dynamo | Draw | Los Angeles Galaxy |
2-1 @ 8.12% (![]() 1-0 @ 7.32% ( ![]() 2-0 @ 5.28% ( ![]() 3-1 @ 3.91% ( ![]() 3-2 @ 3.01% ( ![]() 3-0 @ 2.54% ( ![]() 4-1 @ 1.41% ( ![]() 4-2 @ 1.08% ( ![]() 4-0 @ 0.92% ( ![]() Other @ 2.13% Total : 35.71% | 1-1 @ 11.25% (![]() 2-2 @ 6.25% ( ![]() 0-0 @ 5.07% ( ![]() 3-3 @ 1.54% ( ![]() Other @ 0.23% Total : 24.35% | 1-2 @ 8.66% (![]() 0-1 @ 7.8% ( ![]() 0-2 @ 6% ( ![]() 1-3 @ 4.44% ( ![]() 2-3 @ 3.21% ( ![]() 0-3 @ 3.08% ( ![]() 1-4 @ 1.71% ( ![]() 2-4 @ 1.23% ( ![]() 0-4 @ 1.19% ( ![]() Other @ 2.62% Total : 39.94% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | FC CincinnatiCincinnati | 13 | 9 | 3 | 1 | 21 | 14 | 7 | 30 |
2 | Nashville SCNashville | 14 | 7 | 4 | 3 | 19 | 9 | 10 | 25 |
3 | New England RevolutionNew England | 13 | 7 | 3 | 3 | 19 | 14 | 5 | 24 |
4 | Atlanta UnitedAtlanta | 14 | 6 | 4 | 4 | 28 | 24 | 4 | 22 |
5 | Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia | 13 | 6 | 3 | 4 | 20 | 14 | 6 | 21 |
6 | DC United | 14 | 5 | 4 | 5 | 19 | 16 | 3 | 19 |
7 | Orlando City | 13 | 5 | 4 | 4 | 16 | 16 | 0 | 19 |
8 | Columbus Crew | 13 | 5 | 3 | 5 | 25 | 17 | 8 | 18 |
9 | Charlotte FCCharlotte FC | 14 | 5 | 3 | 6 | 19 | 25 | -6 | 18 |
10 | New York City FCNY City | 13 | 4 | 4 | 5 | 15 | 16 | -1 | 16 |
11 | New York Red BullsNY Red Bulls | 14 | 3 | 7 | 4 | 10 | 12 | -2 | 16 |
12 | Chicago Fire | 13 | 3 | 6 | 4 | 18 | 21 | -3 | 15 |
13 | Inter MiamiInter Miami | 13 | 5 | 0 | 8 | 14 | 17 | -3 | 15 |
14 | CF MontrealMontreal | 13 | 5 | 0 | 8 | 12 | 22 | -10 | 15 |
15 | Toronto | 14 | 2 | 7 | 5 | 13 | 18 | -5 | 13 |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Los Angeles FCLos Angeles | 12 | 7 | 4 | 1 | 23 | 10 | 13 | 25 |
2 | St Louis City | 13 | 7 | 2 | 4 | 26 | 13 | 13 | 23 |
3 | Seattle SoundersSeattle | 14 | 7 | 2 | 5 | 20 | 13 | 7 | 23 |
4 | Dallas | 14 | 6 | 5 | 3 | 16 | 13 | 3 | 23 |
5 | San Jose EarthquakesEarthquakes | 13 | 5 | 3 | 5 | 17 | 18 | -1 | 18 |
6 | Minnesota UnitedMinnesota Utd | 13 | 5 | 3 | 5 | 12 | 14 | -2 | 18 |
7 | Vancouver WhitecapsVancouver | 13 | 4 | 5 | 4 | 18 | 14 | 4 | 17 |
8 | Portland TimbersPortland | 14 | 4 | 4 | 6 | 18 | 20 | -2 | 16 |
9 | Austin FCAustin | 13 | 4 | 4 | 5 | 13 | 18 | -5 | 16 |
10 | Houston DynamoHouston | 12 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 11 | 11 | 0 | 15 |
11 | Real Salt LakeSalt Lake | 13 | 4 | 3 | 6 | 13 | 22 | -9 | 15 |
12 | Colorado RapidsColorado | 14 | 2 | 6 | 6 | 12 | 21 | -9 | 12 |
13 | Sporting Kansas CityKansas | 14 | 2 | 4 | 8 | 9 | 21 | -12 | 10 |
14 | Los Angeles GalaxyLA Galaxy | 13 | 2 | 3 | 8 | 10 | 23 | -13 | 9 |