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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Los Angeles Galaxy win with a probability of 43.79%. A win for Houston Dynamo had a probability of 32.93% and a draw had a probability of 23.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Los Angeles Galaxy win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.96%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.09%) and 0-2 (6.11%). The likeliest Houston Dynamo win was 2-1 (7.64%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.41%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 5.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Los Angeles Galaxy would win this match.
Result | ||
Houston Dynamo | Draw | Los Angeles Galaxy |
32.93% (![]() | 23.28% (![]() | 43.79% (![]() |
Both teams to score 63.19% (![]() |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
61.78% (![]() | 38.21% (![]() |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
39.51% (![]() | 60.49% (![]() |
Houston Dynamo Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
76.95% (![]() | 23.05% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
43.12% (![]() | 56.88% (![]() |
Los Angeles Galaxy Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
82.12% (![]() | 17.87% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
51.35% (![]() | 48.65% (![]() |
Score Analysis |
Houston Dynamo | Draw | Los Angeles Galaxy |
2-1 @ 7.64% (![]() 1-0 @ 6.05% ( ![]() 2-0 @ 4.44% ( ![]() 3-1 @ 3.74% ( ![]() 3-2 @ 3.22% ( ![]() 3-0 @ 2.17% ( ![]() 4-1 @ 1.37% ( ![]() 4-2 @ 1.18% ( ![]() Other @ 3.14% Total : 32.93% | 1-1 @ 10.41% (![]() 2-2 @ 6.58% ( ![]() 0-0 @ 4.12% ( ![]() 3-3 @ 1.85% ( ![]() Other @ 0.32% Total : 23.28% | 1-2 @ 8.96% (![]() 0-1 @ 7.09% ( ![]() 0-2 @ 6.11% ( ![]() 1-3 @ 5.14% ( ![]() 2-3 @ 3.77% ( ![]() 0-3 @ 3.51% ( ![]() 1-4 @ 2.21% ( ![]() 2-4 @ 1.63% ( ![]() 0-4 @ 1.51% ( ![]() Other @ 3.86% Total : 43.79% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | FC CincinnatiCincinnati | 27 | 17 | 6 | 4 | 44 | 30 | 14 | 57 |
2 | New England RevolutionNew England | 26 | 13 | 8 | 5 | 45 | 31 | 14 | 47 |
3 | Orlando City | 27 | 13 | 8 | 6 | 41 | 31 | 10 | 47 |
4 | Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia | 26 | 14 | 4 | 8 | 47 | 31 | 16 | 46 |
5 | Columbus Crew | 27 | 13 | 6 | 8 | 54 | 37 | 17 | 45 |
6 | Atlanta UnitedAtlanta | 28 | 11 | 9 | 8 | 51 | 43 | 8 | 42 |
7 | Nashville SCNashville | 27 | 11 | 7 | 9 | 32 | 27 | 5 | 40 |
8 | CF MontrealMontreal | 27 | 11 | 2 | 14 | 28 | 40 | -12 | 35 |
9 | DC United | 27 | 9 | 6 | 12 | 37 | 38 | -1 | 33 |
10 | Chicago Fire | 27 | 8 | 8 | 11 | 32 | 42 | -10 | 32 |
11 | Charlotte FCCharlotte FC | 26 | 7 | 10 | 9 | 34 | 43 | -9 | 31 |
12 | New York City FCNY City | 28 | 6 | 12 | 10 | 28 | 36 | -8 | 30 |
13 | New York Red BullsNY Red Bulls | 27 | 7 | 8 | 12 | 24 | 33 | -9 | 29 |
14 | Inter MiamiInter Miami | 25 | 7 | 4 | 14 | 27 | 37 | -10 | 25 |
15 | Toronto | 27 | 4 | 10 | 13 | 23 | 39 | -16 | 22 |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | St Louis City | 27 | 15 | 2 | 10 | 53 | 35 | 18 | 47 |
2 | Seattle SoundersSeattle | 28 | 11 | 8 | 9 | 34 | 29 | 5 | 41 |
3 | Los Angeles FCLos Angeles | 26 | 11 | 7 | 8 | 40 | 30 | 10 | 40 |
4 | Real Salt LakeSalt Lake | 27 | 11 | 7 | 9 | 38 | 39 | -1 | 40 |
5 | Houston DynamoHouston | 27 | 11 | 6 | 10 | 36 | 31 | 5 | 39 |
6 | Vancouver WhitecapsVancouver | 26 | 10 | 8 | 8 | 43 | 36 | 7 | 38 |
7 | Minnesota UnitedMinnesota Utd | 26 | 9 | 9 | 8 | 33 | 32 | 1 | 36 |
8 | San Jose EarthquakesEarthquakes | 27 | 9 | 9 | 9 | 32 | 36 | -4 | 36 |
9 | Dallas | 26 | 9 | 7 | 10 | 29 | 30 | -1 | 34 |
10 | Austin FCAustin | 27 | 9 | 6 | 12 | 38 | 43 | -5 | 33 |
11 | Sporting Kansas CityKansas | 27 | 8 | 8 | 11 | 36 | 37 | -1 | 32 |
12 | Portland TimbersPortland | 27 | 7 | 9 | 11 | 32 | 44 | -12 | 30 |
13 | Los Angeles GalaxyLA Galaxy | 25 | 7 | 8 | 10 | 31 | 39 | -8 | 29 |
14 | Colorado RapidsColorado | 26 | 3 | 10 | 13 | 16 | 39 | -23 | 19 |