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| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Los Angeles FC | 31 | 24 | 61 |
| 2 | Dallas | 32 | 11 | 50 |
| 3 | Portland Timbers | 31 | 3 | 45 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 8 | Toronto | 32 | -12 | 34 |
| 9 | Houston Dynamo | 31 | -10 | 33 |
| 10 | DC United | 31 | -31 | 27 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Los Angeles FC win with a probability of 73.52%. A draw had a probability of 15.8% and a win for Houston Dynamo had a probability of 10.71%.
The most likely scoreline for a Los Angeles FC win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.59%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.27%) and 3-0 (8.99%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.28%), while for a Houston Dynamo win it was 1-2 (3.18%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 7.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Los Angeles FC would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Los Angeles FC | Draw | Houston Dynamo |
| 73.52% ( | 15.76% ( | 10.71% ( |
| Both teams to score 53.72% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 66.41% ( | 33.58% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 44.6% ( | 55.39% ( |
| Los Angeles FC Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 92.15% ( | 7.84% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 72.19% ( | 27.8% ( |
| Houston Dynamo Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 58.29% ( | 41.7% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 21.82% ( | 78.18% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Los Angeles FC | Draw | Houston Dynamo |
| 2-0 @ 10.59% ( 2-1 @ 9.27% ( 3-0 @ 8.99% ( 1-0 @ 8.33% ( 3-1 @ 7.86% ( 4-0 @ 5.72% ( 4-1 @ 5.01% ( 3-2 @ 3.44% ( 5-0 @ 2.91% ( 5-1 @ 2.55% ( 4-2 @ 2.19% ( 6-0 @ 1.24% ( 5-2 @ 1.11% ( 6-1 @ 1.08% ( Other @ 3.23% Total : 73.52% | 1-1 @ 7.28% ( 2-2 @ 4.05% ( 0-0 @ 3.27% ( 3-3 @ 1% ( Other @ 0.15% Total : 15.76% | 1-2 @ 3.18% ( 0-1 @ 2.86% ( 0-2 @ 1.25% ( 2-3 @ 1.18% ( 1-3 @ 0.93% ( Other @ 1.31% Total : 10.71% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | New England RevolutionNew England | 5 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 5 | 2 | 12 |
| 2 | FC CincinnatiCincinnati | 5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 7 | 4 | 3 | 11 |
| 3 | Atlanta UnitedAtlanta | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 12 | 9 | 3 | 10 |
| 4 | Orlando City | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 8 |
| 5 | Columbus Crew | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 11 | 8 | 3 | 7 |
| 6 | Nashville SCNashville | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 7 |
| 7 | New York City FCNY City | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 6 | -1 | 7 |
| 8 | Toronto | 5 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 6 | 5 | 1 | 6 |
| 9 | Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 8 | 8 | 0 | 6 |
| 10 | Inter MiamiInter Miami | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 6 | 6 | 0 | 6 |
| 11 | New York Red BullsNY Red Bulls | 5 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 6 |
| 12 | Chicago Fire | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 7 | 7 | 0 | 5 |
| 13 | DC United | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 7 | 10 | -3 | 4 |
| 14 | Charlotte FCCharlotte FC | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 9 | -5 | 4 |
| 15 | CF MontrealMontreal | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 7 | -4 | 3 |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | St Louis City | 5 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 15 | 4 | 11 | 15 |
| 2 | Seattle SoundersSeattle | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 10 | 2 | 8 | 10 |
| 3 | Los Angeles FCLos Angeles | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 9 | 3 | 6 | 10 |
| 4 | Minnesota UnitedMinnesota Utd | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 8 |
| 5 | Dallas | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 7 | 6 | 1 | 7 |
| 6 | Austin FCAustin | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 7 | -1 | 7 |
| 7 | San Jose EarthquakesEarthquakes | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 6 | -2 | 7 |
| 8 | Houston DynamoHouston | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 5 | -1 | 6 |
| 9 | Portland TimbersPortland | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 10 | -5 | 4 |
| 10 | Vancouver WhitecapsVancouver | 5 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 5 | 7 | -2 | 3 |
| 11 | Los Angeles GalaxyLA Galaxy | 4 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 4 | -2 | 3 |
| 12 | Real Salt LakeSalt Lake | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 9 | -6 | 3 |
| 13 | Sporting Kansas CityKansas | 5 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 7 | -5 | 2 |
| 14 | Colorado RapidsColorado | 5 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 8 | -6 | 2 |
