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| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Los Angeles FC | 31 | 24 | 61 | 
| 2 | Dallas | 32 | 11 | 50 | 
| 3 | Portland Timbers | 31 | 3 | 45 | 
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 8 | Toronto | 32 | -12 | 34 | 
| 9 | Houston Dynamo | 31 | -10 | 33 | 
| 10 | DC United | 31 | -31 | 27 | 
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Los Angeles FC win with a probability of 73.52%. A draw had a probability of 15.8% and a win for Houston Dynamo had a probability of 10.71%.
The most likely scoreline for a Los Angeles FC win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.59%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.27%) and 3-0 (8.99%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.28%), while for a Houston Dynamo win it was 1-2 (3.18%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 7.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Los Angeles FC would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Los Angeles FC | Draw | Houston Dynamo | 
| 73.52% (  0.46) | 15.76% (  -0.29) | 10.71% (  -0.18) | 
| Both teams to score 53.72% (  0.46) | 
| Goals | 
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 
| 66.41% (  0.9) | 33.58% (  -0.9) | 
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 | 
| 44.6% (  1.02) | 55.39% (  -1.02) | 
| Los Angeles FC Goals | 
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 | 
| 92.15% (  0.31) | 7.84% (  -0.31) | 
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 72.19% (  0.79) | 27.8% (  -0.79) | 
| Houston Dynamo Goals | 
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 | 
| 58.29% (  0.31) | 41.7% (  -0.31) | 
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 21.82% (  0.27) | 78.18% (  -0.27) | 
| Score Analysis | 
| Los Angeles FC | Draw | Houston Dynamo | 
| 2-0 @ 10.59% (  -0.17) 2-1 @ 9.27% (  -0.07) 3-0 @ 8.99% (  0) 1-0 @ 8.33% (  -0.26) 3-1 @ 7.86% (  0.07) 4-0 @ 5.72% (  0.09) 4-1 @ 5.01% (  0.12) 3-2 @ 3.44% (  0.06) 5-0 @ 2.91% (  0.09) 5-1 @ 2.55% (  0.1) 4-2 @ 2.19% (  0.07) 6-0 @ 1.24% (  0.06) 5-2 @ 1.11% (  0.05) 6-1 @ 1.08% (  0.06) Other @ 3.23% Total : 73.52% | 1-1 @ 7.28% (  -0.17) 2-2 @ 4.05% (  0) 0-0 @ 3.27% (  -0.16) 3-3 @ 1% (  0.03) Other @ 0.15% Total : 15.76% | 1-2 @ 3.18% (  -0.04) 0-1 @ 2.86% (  -0.11) 0-2 @ 1.25% (  -0.04) 2-3 @ 1.18% (  0.01) 1-3 @ 0.93% (  -0.01) Other @ 1.31% Total : 10.71% | 
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | New England RevolutionNew England | 5 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 5 | 2 | 12 | 
| 2 | FC CincinnatiCincinnati | 5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 7 | 4 | 3 | 11 | 
| 3 | Atlanta UnitedAtlanta | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 12 | 9 | 3 | 10 | 
| 4 | Orlando City | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 8 | 
| 5 | Columbus Crew | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 11 | 8 | 3 | 7 | 
| 6 | Nashville SCNashville | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 7 | 
| 7 | New York City FCNY City | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 6 | -1 | 7 | 
| 8 | Toronto | 5 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 6 | 5 | 1 | 6 | 
| 9 | Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 8 | 8 | 0 | 6 | 
| 10 | Inter MiamiInter Miami | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 6 | 6 | 0 | 6 | 
| 11 | New York Red BullsNY Red Bulls | 5 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 6 | 
| 12 | Chicago Fire | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 7 | 7 | 0 | 5 | 
| 13 | DC United | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 7 | 10 | -3 | 4 | 
| 14 | Charlotte FCCharlotte FC | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 9 | -5 | 4 | 
| 15 | CF MontrealMontreal | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 7 | -4 | 3 | 
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | St Louis City | 5 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 15 | 4 | 11 | 15 | 
| 2 | Seattle SoundersSeattle | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 10 | 2 | 8 | 10 | 
| 3 | Los Angeles FCLos Angeles | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 9 | 3 | 6 | 10 | 
| 4 | Minnesota UnitedMinnesota Utd | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 8 | 
| 5 | Dallas | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 7 | 6 | 1 | 7 | 
| 6 | Austin FCAustin | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 7 | -1 | 7 | 
| 7 | San Jose EarthquakesEarthquakes | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 6 | -2 | 7 | 
| 8 | Houston DynamoHouston | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 5 | -1 | 6 | 
| 9 | Portland TimbersPortland | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 10 | -5 | 4 | 
| 10 | Vancouver WhitecapsVancouver | 5 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 5 | 7 | -2 | 3 | 
| 11 | Los Angeles GalaxyLA Galaxy | 4 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 4 | -2 | 3 | 
| 12 | Real Salt LakeSalt Lake | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 9 | -6 | 3 | 
| 13 | Sporting Kansas CityKansas | 5 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 7 | -5 | 2 | 
| 14 | Colorado RapidsColorado | 5 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 8 | -6 | 2 | 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
