

MLS Rivalry Week is upon us, and you can watch every game live with the MLS season pass on Apple TV. Click here for more details on how to subscribe.
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Dallas | 28 | 7 | 42 | 
| 2 | Minnesota United | 26 | 6 | 41 | 
| 3 | Real Salt Lake | 26 | -1 | 38 | 
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 7 | Chicago Fire | 26 | -8 | 30 | 
| 8 | Houston Dynamo | 26 | -11 | 26 | 
| 9 | Sporting Kansas City | 27 | -15 | 26 | 
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Minnesota United win with a probability of 55.32%. A draw had a probability of 22.9% and a win for Houston Dynamo had a probability of 21.74%.
The most likely scoreline for a Minnesota United win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.29%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.86%) and 2-0 (9.37%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.83%), while for a Houston Dynamo win it was 0-1 (5.96%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Minnesota United would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Minnesota United | Draw | Houston Dynamo | 
| 55.32% (  -0.23) | 22.94% (  0.05) | 21.74% (  0.18) | 
| Both teams to score 54.54% (  0.09) | 
| Goals | 
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 
| 54.74% (  -0.01) | 45.26% (  0.01) | 
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 | 
| 32.4% (  -0.01) | 67.6% (  0.01) | 
| Minnesota United Goals | 
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 | 
| 83.78% (  -0.08) | 16.22% (  0.08) | 
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 54.28% (  -0.15) | 45.72% (  0.15) | 
| Houston Dynamo Goals | 
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 | 
| 65.1% (  0.16) | 34.91% (  -0.16) | 
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 28.35% (  0.17) | 71.65% (  -0.17) | 
| Score Analysis | 
| Minnesota United | Draw | Houston Dynamo | 
| 1-0 @ 10.29% (  -0.03) 2-1 @ 9.86% (  -0.01) 2-0 @ 9.37% (  -0.05) 3-1 @ 5.98% (  -0.02) 3-0 @ 5.68% (  -0.04) 3-2 @ 3.15% (  0) 4-1 @ 2.72% (  -0.02) 4-0 @ 2.58% (  -0.03) 4-2 @ 1.43% (  -0) 5-1 @ 0.99% (  -0.01) 5-0 @ 0.94% (  -0.01) Other @ 2.34% Total : 55.31% | 1-1 @ 10.83% (  0.02) 0-0 @ 5.66% (  0) 2-2 @ 5.19% (  0.02) 3-3 @ 1.1% (  0) Other @ 0.14% Total : 22.93% | 0-1 @ 5.96% (  0.03) 1-2 @ 5.7% (  0.04) 0-2 @ 3.14% (  0.03) 1-3 @ 2% (  0.02) 2-3 @ 1.82% (  0.02) 0-3 @ 1.1% (  0.02) Other @ 2.02% Total : 21.74% | 
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | FC CincinnatiCincinnati | 12 | 8 | 3 | 1 | 18 | 12 | 6 | 27 | 
| 2 | New England RevolutionNew England | 12 | 7 | 3 | 2 | 19 | 11 | 8 | 24 | 
| 3 | Nashville SCNashville | 13 | 6 | 4 | 3 | 17 | 8 | 9 | 22 | 
| 4 | Atlanta UnitedAtlanta | 13 | 6 | 3 | 4 | 25 | 21 | 4 | 21 | 
| 5 | Columbus Crew | 12 | 5 | 3 | 4 | 23 | 14 | 9 | 18 | 
| 6 | Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia | 12 | 5 | 3 | 4 | 17 | 14 | 3 | 18 | 
| 7 | Charlotte FCCharlotte FC | 13 | 5 | 3 | 5 | 18 | 23 | -5 | 18 | 
| 8 | DC United | 13 | 4 | 4 | 5 | 16 | 16 | 0 | 16 | 
| 9 | New York City FCNY City | 13 | 4 | 4 | 5 | 15 | 16 | -1 | 16 | 
| 10 | Orlando City | 12 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 13 | 15 | -2 | 16 | 
| 11 | Inter MiamiInter Miami | 12 | 5 | 0 | 7 | 13 | 14 | -1 | 15 | 
| 12 | CF MontrealMontreal | 12 | 5 | 0 | 7 | 11 | 20 | -9 | 15 | 
| 13 | Chicago Fire | 12 | 3 | 5 | 4 | 15 | 18 | -3 | 14 | 
| 14 | New York Red BullsNY Red Bulls | 13 | 2 | 7 | 4 | 8 | 11 | -3 | 13 | 
| 15 | Toronto | 13 | 2 | 7 | 4 | 13 | 17 | -4 | 13 | 
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Seattle SoundersSeattle | 13 | 7 | 2 | 4 | 20 | 11 | 9 | 23 | 
| 2 | Los Angeles FCLos Angeles | 11 | 6 | 4 | 1 | 21 | 9 | 12 | 22 | 
| 3 | Dallas | 13 | 6 | 4 | 3 | 15 | 12 | 3 | 22 | 
| 4 | St Louis City | 12 | 6 | 2 | 4 | 22 | 13 | 9 | 20 | 
| 5 | San Jose EarthquakesEarthquakes | 12 | 5 | 3 | 4 | 16 | 16 | 0 | 18 | 
| 6 | Portland TimbersPortland | 13 | 4 | 4 | 5 | 18 | 19 | -1 | 16 | 
| 7 | Minnesota UnitedMinnesota Utd | 12 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 11 | 14 | -3 | 15 | 
| 8 | Vancouver WhitecapsVancouver | 12 | 3 | 5 | 4 | 16 | 14 | 2 | 14 | 
| 9 | Houston DynamoHouston | 11 | 4 | 2 | 5 | 10 | 10 | 0 | 14 | 
| 10 | Austin FCAustin | 12 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 12 | 18 | -6 | 13 | 
| 11 | Colorado RapidsColorado | 13 | 2 | 6 | 5 | 10 | 18 | -8 | 12 | 
| 12 | Real Salt LakeSalt Lake | 12 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 10 | 20 | -10 | 12 | 
| 13 | Sporting Kansas CityKansas | 13 | 2 | 4 | 7 | 9 | 17 | -8 | 10 | 
| 14 | Los Angeles GalaxyLA Galaxy | 12 | 2 | 3 | 7 | 10 | 20 | -10 | 9 | 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
