Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Houston Dynamo win with a probability of 42.27%. A win for Minnesota United had a probability of 31.67% and a draw had a probability of 26.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Houston Dynamo win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.34%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.83%) and 2-0 (7.37%). The likeliest Minnesota United win was 0-1 (8.69%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.39%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Minnesota United would win this match.