Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Minnesota United win with a probability of 54.24%. A draw had a probability of 24% and a win for Real Salt Lake had a probability of 21.78%.

The most likely scoreline for a Minnesota United win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.58%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.86%) and 2-1 (9.72%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.4%), while for a Real Salt Lake win it was 0-1 (6.7%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Minnesota United would win this match.