Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Salt Lake win with a probability of 55.32%. A draw had a probability of 24.1% and a win for Houston Dynamo had a probability of 20.61%.

The most likely scoreline for a Real Salt Lake win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.28%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.39%) and 2-1 (9.67%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.43%), while for a Houston Dynamo win it was 0-1 (6.76%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 5.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Real Salt Lake would win this match.