Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a New York City FC win with a probability of 66.55%. A draw had a probability of 19.1% and a win for Real Salt Lake had a probability of 14.35%.
The most likely scoreline for a New York City FC win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.84%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.91%) and 2-1 (9.83%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.99%), while for a Real Salt Lake win it was 0-1 (4.11%). The actual scoreline of 6-0 was predicted with a 0.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that New York City FC would win this match.
Result | ||
New York City FC | Draw | Real Salt Lake |
66.55% | 19.09% | 14.35% |
Both teams to score 52.92% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
59.74% | 40.25% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
37.37% | 62.62% |
New York City FC Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
88.77% | 11.22% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
64.22% | 35.77% |
Real Salt Lake Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
59.61% | 40.38% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
23% | 77% |
Score Analysis |
New York City FC | Draw | Real Salt Lake |
2-0 @ 10.84% 1-0 @ 9.91% 2-1 @ 9.83% 3-0 @ 7.9% 3-1 @ 7.17% 4-0 @ 4.32% 4-1 @ 3.92% 3-2 @ 3.25% 5-0 @ 1.89% 4-2 @ 1.78% 5-1 @ 1.71% Other @ 4.02% Total : 66.55% | 1-1 @ 8.99% 0-0 @ 4.53% 2-2 @ 4.46% 3-3 @ 0.98% Other @ 0.13% Total : 19.09% | 0-1 @ 4.11% 1-2 @ 4.08% 0-2 @ 1.86% 2-3 @ 1.35% 1-3 @ 1.23% Other @ 1.72% Total : 14.35% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | New York City FCNY City | 13 | 8 | 2 | 3 | 25 | 10 | 15 | 26 |
2 | Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia | 14 | 6 | 7 | 1 | 19 | 10 | 9 | 25 |
3 | New York Red BullsNY Red Bulls | 14 | 6 | 5 | 3 | 24 | 15 | 9 | 23 |
4 | CF MontrealMontreal | 14 | 7 | 2 | 5 | 28 | 26 | 2 | 23 |
5 | Orlando City | 14 | 6 | 3 | 5 | 17 | 20 | -3 | 21 |
6 | FC CincinnatiCincinnati | 14 | 6 | 1 | 7 | 21 | 25 | -4 | 19 |
7 | Inter MiamiInter Miami | 14 | 5 | 3 | 6 | 15 | 22 | -7 | 18 |
8 | Columbus Crew | 13 | 4 | 4 | 5 | 17 | 16 | 1 | 16 |
9 | Atlanta UnitedAtlanta | 13 | 4 | 4 | 5 | 20 | 20 | 0 | 16 |
10 | New England RevolutionNew England | 13 | 4 | 4 | 5 | 22 | 23 | -1 | 16 |
11 | Charlotte FCCharlotte FC | 13 | 5 | 1 | 7 | 12 | 16 | -4 | 16 |
12 | Toronto | 14 | 4 | 3 | 7 | 21 | 27 | -6 | 15 |
13 | DC United | 13 | 4 | 2 | 7 | 17 | 23 | -6 | 14 |
14 | Chicago Fire | 14 | 2 | 5 | 7 | 13 | 20 | -7 | 11 |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | New York City FCNY City | 13 | 8 | 2 | 3 | 25 | 10 | 15 | 26 |
2 | Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia | 14 | 6 | 7 | 1 | 19 | 10 | 9 | 25 |
3 | New York Red BullsNY Red Bulls | 14 | 6 | 5 | 3 | 24 | 15 | 9 | 23 |
4 | CF MontrealMontreal | 14 | 7 | 2 | 5 | 28 | 26 | 2 | 23 |
5 | Orlando City | 14 | 6 | 3 | 5 | 17 | 20 | -3 | 21 |
6 | FC CincinnatiCincinnati | 14 | 6 | 1 | 7 | 21 | 25 | -4 | 19 |
7 | Inter MiamiInter Miami | 14 | 5 | 3 | 6 | 15 | 22 | -7 | 18 |
8 | Columbus Crew | 13 | 4 | 4 | 5 | 17 | 16 | 1 | 16 |
9 | Atlanta UnitedAtlanta | 13 | 4 | 4 | 5 | 20 | 20 | 0 | 16 |
10 | New England RevolutionNew England | 13 | 4 | 4 | 5 | 22 | 23 | -1 | 16 |
11 | Charlotte FCCharlotte FC | 13 | 5 | 1 | 7 | 12 | 16 | -4 | 16 |
12 | Toronto | 14 | 4 | 3 | 7 | 21 | 27 | -6 | 15 |
13 | DC United | 13 | 4 | 2 | 7 | 17 | 23 | -6 | 14 |
14 | Chicago Fire | 14 | 2 | 5 | 7 | 13 | 20 | -7 | 11 |