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| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 3 | CF Montreal | 14 | 4 | 23 |
| 4 | Houston Dynamo | 14 | 0 | 18 |
| 5 | Columbus Crew | 13 | 1 | 16 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 5 | Vancouver Whitecaps | 14 | -1 | 17 |
| 6 | Seattle Sounders | 12 | -1 | 16 |
| 7 | Portland Timbers | 15 | -4 | 15 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Houston Dynamo win with a probability of 43.41%. A win for Seattle Sounders had a probability of 30.02% and a draw had a probability of 26.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Houston Dynamo win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.29%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.83%) and 2-0 (7.91%). The likeliest Seattle Sounders win was 0-1 (9.02%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.62%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 9% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Houston Dynamo | Draw | Seattle Sounders |
| 43.41% ( | 26.57% ( | 30.02% ( |
| Both teams to score 50.69% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 46.06% ( | 53.94% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 24.61% ( | 75.39% ( |
| Houston Dynamo Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.34% ( | 24.66% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 40.81% ( | 59.19% ( |
| Seattle Sounders Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 67.28% ( | 32.72% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 30.73% ( | 69.27% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Houston Dynamo | Draw | Seattle Sounders |
| 1-0 @ 11.29% ( 2-1 @ 8.83% ( 2-0 @ 7.91% ( 3-1 @ 4.12% ( 3-0 @ 3.69% ( 3-2 @ 2.3% ( 4-1 @ 1.44% ( 4-0 @ 1.29% ( Other @ 2.52% Total : 43.4% | 1-1 @ 12.62% ( 0-0 @ 8.07% ( 2-2 @ 4.94% ( Other @ 0.95% Total : 26.57% | 0-1 @ 9.02% ( 1-2 @ 7.05% ( 0-2 @ 5.04% ( 1-3 @ 2.63% ( 0-3 @ 1.88% ( 2-3 @ 1.84% ( Other @ 2.58% Total : 30.02% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | New England RevolutionNew England | 12 | 7 | 3 | 2 | 19 | 11 | 8 | 24 |
| 2 | FC CincinnatiCincinnati | 11 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 15 | 12 | 3 | 24 |
| 3 | Nashville SCNashville | 12 | 5 | 4 | 3 | 15 | 7 | 8 | 19 |
| 4 | Atlanta UnitedAtlanta | 12 | 5 | 3 | 4 | 21 | 21 | 0 | 18 |
| 5 | Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia | 11 | 5 | 2 | 4 | 17 | 14 | 3 | 17 |
| 6 | Columbus Crew | 11 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 21 | 14 | 7 | 15 |
| 7 | DC United | 12 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 16 | 16 | 0 | 15 |
| 8 | Inter MiamiInter Miami | 11 | 5 | 0 | 6 | 12 | 12 | 0 | 15 |
| 9 | New York City FCNY City | 12 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 14 | 15 | -1 | 15 |
| 10 | Orlando City | 11 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 12 | 14 | -2 | 15 |
| 11 | Charlotte FCCharlotte FC | 12 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 16 | 22 | -6 | 15 |
| 12 | CF MontrealMontreal | 11 | 5 | 0 | 6 | 11 | 17 | -6 | 15 |
| 13 | Chicago Fire | 11 | 3 | 5 | 3 | 14 | 16 | -2 | 14 |
| 14 | New York Red BullsNY Red Bulls | 12 | 2 | 6 | 4 | 8 | 11 | -3 | 12 |
| 15 | Toronto | 12 | 2 | 6 | 4 | 13 | 17 | -4 | 12 |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Seattle SoundersSeattle | 12 | 7 | 2 | 3 | 19 | 9 | 10 | 23 |
| 2 | Los Angeles FCLos Angeles | 10 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 20 | 8 | 12 | 21 |
| 3 | St Louis City | 12 | 6 | 2 | 4 | 22 | 13 | 9 | 20 |
| 4 | Dallas | 12 | 5 | 4 | 3 | 13 | 11 | 2 | 19 |
| 5 | San Jose EarthquakesEarthquakes | 11 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 15 | 14 | 1 | 18 |
| 6 | Portland TimbersPortland | 12 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 18 | 19 | -1 | 15 |
| 7 | Vancouver WhitecapsVancouver | 11 | 3 | 5 | 3 | 15 | 12 | 3 | 14 |
| 8 | Houston DynamoHouston | 10 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 10 | 9 | 1 | 14 |
| 9 | Colorado RapidsColorado | 12 | 2 | 6 | 4 | 10 | 14 | -4 | 12 |
| 10 | Minnesota UnitedMinnesota Utd | 11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 10 | 14 | -4 | 12 |
| 11 | Real Salt LakeSalt Lake | 11 | 3 | 2 | 6 | 10 | 20 | -10 | 11 |
| 12 | Austin FCAustin | 11 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 10 | 17 | -7 | 10 |
| 13 | Sporting Kansas CityKansas | 12 | 2 | 3 | 7 | 8 | 16 | -8 | 9 |
| 14 | Los Angeles GalaxyLA Galaxy | 10 | 1 | 3 | 6 | 8 | 17 | -9 | 6 |
