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| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 5 | Vancouver Whitecaps | 14 | -1 | 17 |
| 6 | Seattle Sounders | 12 | -1 | 16 |
| 7 | Portland Timbers | 15 | -4 | 15 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 4 | Colorado Rapids | 14 | 2 | 18 |
| 5 | Vancouver Whitecaps | 14 | -1 | 17 |
| 6 | Seattle Sounders | 12 | -1 | 16 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Seattle Sounders win with a probability of 68.69%. A draw had a probability of 19.4% and a win for Vancouver Whitecaps had a probability of 11.86%.
The most likely scoreline for a Seattle Sounders win was 2-0 with a probability of 13.22%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (12.86%) and 2-1 (9.46%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.2%), while for a Vancouver Whitecaps win it was 0-1 (4.47%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 4.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Seattle Sounders would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Seattle Sounders | Draw | Vancouver Whitecaps |
| 68.69% ( | 19.44% ( | 11.86% ( |
| Both teams to score 44.56% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 52.38% ( | 47.61% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 30.18% ( | 69.82% ( |
| Seattle Sounders Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 87.21% ( | 12.79% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 60.91% ( | 39.08% ( |
| Vancouver Whitecaps Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 51.09% ( | 48.91% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 16.11% ( | 83.89% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Seattle Sounders | Draw | Vancouver Whitecaps |
| 2-0 @ 13.22% 1-0 @ 12.86% ( 2-1 @ 9.46% ( 3-0 @ 9.07% ( 3-1 @ 6.49% ( 4-0 @ 4.66% ( 4-1 @ 3.34% ( 3-2 @ 2.32% ( 5-0 @ 1.92% ( 5-1 @ 1.37% ( 4-2 @ 1.19% ( Other @ 2.78% Total : 68.68% | 1-1 @ 9.2% ( 0-0 @ 6.25% ( 2-2 @ 3.38% Other @ 0.61% Total : 19.44% | 0-1 @ 4.47% ( 1-2 @ 3.29% ( 0-2 @ 1.6% ( Other @ 2.5% Total : 11.87% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | FC CincinnatiCincinnati | 13 | 9 | 3 | 1 | 21 | 14 | 7 | 30 |
| 2 | Nashville SCNashville | 14 | 7 | 4 | 3 | 19 | 9 | 10 | 25 |
| 3 | New England RevolutionNew England | 13 | 7 | 3 | 3 | 19 | 14 | 5 | 24 |
| 4 | Atlanta UnitedAtlanta | 14 | 6 | 4 | 4 | 28 | 24 | 4 | 22 |
| 5 | Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia | 13 | 6 | 3 | 4 | 20 | 14 | 6 | 21 |
| 6 | DC United | 14 | 5 | 4 | 5 | 19 | 16 | 3 | 19 |
| 7 | Orlando City | 13 | 5 | 4 | 4 | 16 | 16 | 0 | 19 |
| 8 | Columbus Crew | 13 | 5 | 3 | 5 | 25 | 17 | 8 | 18 |
| 9 | Charlotte FCCharlotte FC | 14 | 5 | 3 | 6 | 19 | 25 | -6 | 18 |
| 10 | New York City FCNY City | 13 | 4 | 4 | 5 | 15 | 16 | -1 | 16 |
| 11 | New York Red BullsNY Red Bulls | 14 | 3 | 7 | 4 | 10 | 12 | -2 | 16 |
| 12 | Chicago Fire | 13 | 3 | 6 | 4 | 18 | 21 | -3 | 15 |
| 13 | Inter MiamiInter Miami | 13 | 5 | 0 | 8 | 14 | 17 | -3 | 15 |
| 14 | CF MontrealMontreal | 13 | 5 | 0 | 8 | 12 | 22 | -10 | 15 |
| 15 | Toronto | 14 | 2 | 7 | 5 | 13 | 18 | -5 | 13 |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Los Angeles FCLos Angeles | 12 | 7 | 4 | 1 | 23 | 10 | 13 | 25 |
| 2 | St Louis City | 13 | 7 | 2 | 4 | 26 | 13 | 13 | 23 |
| 3 | Seattle SoundersSeattle | 14 | 7 | 2 | 5 | 20 | 13 | 7 | 23 |
| 4 | Dallas | 14 | 6 | 5 | 3 | 16 | 13 | 3 | 23 |
| 5 | San Jose EarthquakesEarthquakes | 13 | 5 | 3 | 5 | 17 | 18 | -1 | 18 |
| 6 | Minnesota UnitedMinnesota Utd | 13 | 5 | 3 | 5 | 12 | 14 | -2 | 18 |
| 7 | Vancouver WhitecapsVancouver | 13 | 4 | 5 | 4 | 18 | 14 | 4 | 17 |
| 8 | Portland TimbersPortland | 14 | 4 | 4 | 6 | 18 | 20 | -2 | 16 |
| 9 | Austin FCAustin | 13 | 4 | 4 | 5 | 13 | 18 | -5 | 16 |
| 10 | Houston DynamoHouston | 12 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 11 | 11 | 0 | 15 |
| 11 | Real Salt LakeSalt Lake | 13 | 4 | 3 | 6 | 13 | 22 | -9 | 15 |
| 12 | Colorado RapidsColorado | 14 | 2 | 6 | 6 | 12 | 21 | -9 | 12 |
| 13 | Sporting Kansas CityKansas | 14 | 2 | 4 | 8 | 9 | 21 | -12 | 10 |
| 14 | Los Angeles GalaxyLA Galaxy | 13 | 2 | 3 | 8 | 10 | 23 | -13 | 9 |
