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| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 4 | Colorado Rapids | 14 | 2 | 18 |
| 5 | Vancouver Whitecaps | 14 | -1 | 17 |
| 6 | Seattle Sounders | 12 | -1 | 16 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Dallas | 14 | 11 | 25 |
| 2 | Real Salt Lake | 15 | -1 | 25 |
| 3 | Los Angeles Galaxy | 14 | 1 | 23 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Vancouver Whitecaps win with a probability of 44.26%. A win for Dallas had a probability of 30.27% and a draw had a probability of 25.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Vancouver Whitecaps win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.1%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.08%) and 2-0 (7.59%). The likeliest Dallas win was 0-1 (8.06%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.09%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Vancouver Whitecaps would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Vancouver Whitecaps | Draw | Dallas |
| 44.26% ( | 25.48% ( | 30.27% ( |
| Both teams to score 54.24% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 50.61% ( | 49.4% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 28.56% ( | 71.44% ( |
| Vancouver Whitecaps Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.72% ( | 22.28% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 44.27% ( | 55.73% ( |
| Dallas Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 69.79% ( | 30.21% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 33.63% ( | 66.37% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Vancouver Whitecaps | Draw | Dallas |
| 1-0 @ 10.1% ( 2-1 @ 9.08% 2-0 @ 7.59% ( 3-1 @ 4.55% ( 3-0 @ 3.8% ( 3-2 @ 2.72% ( 4-1 @ 1.71% 4-0 @ 1.43% ( 4-2 @ 1.02% ( Other @ 2.26% Total : 44.25% | 1-1 @ 12.09% 0-0 @ 6.73% ( 2-2 @ 5.44% ( 3-3 @ 1.09% ( Other @ 0.13% Total : 25.47% | 0-1 @ 8.06% ( 1-2 @ 7.24% ( 0-2 @ 4.82% ( 1-3 @ 2.89% ( 2-3 @ 2.17% ( 0-3 @ 1.92% ( Other @ 3.17% Total : 30.27% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | FC CincinnatiCincinnati | 12 | 8 | 3 | 1 | 18 | 12 | 6 | 27 |
| 2 | New England RevolutionNew England | 12 | 7 | 3 | 2 | 19 | 11 | 8 | 24 |
| 3 | Nashville SCNashville | 13 | 6 | 4 | 3 | 17 | 8 | 9 | 22 |
| 4 | Atlanta UnitedAtlanta | 13 | 6 | 3 | 4 | 25 | 21 | 4 | 21 |
| 5 | Columbus Crew | 12 | 5 | 3 | 4 | 23 | 14 | 9 | 18 |
| 6 | Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia | 12 | 5 | 3 | 4 | 17 | 14 | 3 | 18 |
| 7 | Charlotte FCCharlotte FC | 13 | 5 | 3 | 5 | 18 | 23 | -5 | 18 |
| 8 | DC United | 13 | 4 | 4 | 5 | 16 | 16 | 0 | 16 |
| 9 | New York City FCNY City | 13 | 4 | 4 | 5 | 15 | 16 | -1 | 16 |
| 10 | Orlando City | 12 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 13 | 15 | -2 | 16 |
| 11 | Inter MiamiInter Miami | 12 | 5 | 0 | 7 | 13 | 14 | -1 | 15 |
| 12 | CF MontrealMontreal | 12 | 5 | 0 | 7 | 11 | 20 | -9 | 15 |
| 13 | Chicago Fire | 12 | 3 | 5 | 4 | 15 | 18 | -3 | 14 |
| 14 | New York Red BullsNY Red Bulls | 13 | 2 | 7 | 4 | 8 | 11 | -3 | 13 |
| 15 | Toronto | 13 | 2 | 7 | 4 | 13 | 17 | -4 | 13 |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Seattle SoundersSeattle | 13 | 7 | 2 | 4 | 20 | 11 | 9 | 23 |
| 2 | Los Angeles FCLos Angeles | 11 | 6 | 4 | 1 | 21 | 9 | 12 | 22 |
| 3 | Dallas | 13 | 6 | 4 | 3 | 15 | 12 | 3 | 22 |
| 4 | St Louis City | 12 | 6 | 2 | 4 | 22 | 13 | 9 | 20 |
| 5 | San Jose EarthquakesEarthquakes | 12 | 5 | 3 | 4 | 16 | 16 | 0 | 18 |
| 6 | Portland TimbersPortland | 13 | 4 | 4 | 5 | 18 | 19 | -1 | 16 |
| 7 | Minnesota UnitedMinnesota Utd | 12 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 11 | 14 | -3 | 15 |
| 8 | Vancouver WhitecapsVancouver | 12 | 3 | 5 | 4 | 16 | 14 | 2 | 14 |
| 9 | Houston DynamoHouston | 11 | 4 | 2 | 5 | 10 | 10 | 0 | 14 |
| 10 | Austin FCAustin | 12 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 12 | 18 | -6 | 13 |
| 11 | Colorado RapidsColorado | 13 | 2 | 6 | 5 | 10 | 18 | -8 | 12 |
| 12 | Real Salt LakeSalt Lake | 12 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 10 | 20 | -10 | 12 |
| 13 | Sporting Kansas CityKansas | 13 | 2 | 4 | 7 | 9 | 17 | -8 | 10 |
| 14 | Los Angeles GalaxyLA Galaxy | 12 | 2 | 3 | 7 | 10 | 20 | -10 | 9 |
