| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 4 | CF Montreal | 14 | 2 | 23 |
| 5 | Orlando City | 14 | -3 | 21 |
| 6 | Columbus Crew | 13 | 1 | 16 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Dallas | 14 | 11 | 25 |
| 2 | Real Salt Lake | 15 | -1 | 25 |
| 3 | Los Angeles Galaxy | 14 | 1 | 23 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Orlando City win with a probability of 51.53%. A win for Dallas had a probability of 24.41% and a draw had a probability of 24.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Orlando City win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.45%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.67%) and 2-0 (8.87%). The likeliest Dallas win was 0-1 (6.72%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.4%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 2.3% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Orlando City | Draw | Dallas |
| 51.53% ( | 24.06% ( | 24.41% ( |
| Both teams to score 54.2% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 52.71% ( | 47.29% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 30.49% ( | 69.51% ( |
| Orlando City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 81.65% ( | 18.35% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 50.54% ( | 49.46% ( |
| Dallas Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 66.38% ( | 33.62% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 29.73% ( | 70.26% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Orlando City | Draw | Dallas |
| 1-0 @ 10.45% ( 2-1 @ 9.67% 2-0 @ 8.87% ( 3-1 @ 5.46% ( 3-0 @ 5.01% ( 3-2 @ 2.98% ( 4-1 @ 2.32% ( 4-0 @ 2.13% 4-2 @ 1.26% ( Other @ 3.38% Total : 51.52% | 1-1 @ 11.4% 0-0 @ 6.17% ( 2-2 @ 5.27% ( 3-3 @ 1.08% ( Other @ 0.13% Total : 24.05% | 0-1 @ 6.72% ( 1-2 @ 6.22% ( 0-2 @ 3.67% ( 1-3 @ 2.26% ( 2-3 @ 1.92% ( 0-3 @ 1.33% ( Other @ 2.3% Total : 24.41% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia | 23 | 12 | 9 | 2 | 40 | 15 | 25 | 45 |
| 2 | New York City FCNY City | 22 | 12 | 6 | 4 | 41 | 21 | 20 | 42 |
| 3 | New York Red BullsNY Red Bulls | 23 | 10 | 6 | 7 | 38 | 30 | 8 | 36 |
| 4 | CF MontrealMontreal | 22 | 11 | 3 | 8 | 36 | 36 | 0 | 36 |
| 5 | Columbus Crew | 21 | 7 | 9 | 5 | 27 | 22 | 5 | 30 |
| 6 | Orlando City | 23 | 8 | 6 | 9 | 27 | 33 | -6 | 30 |
| 7 | FC CincinnatiCincinnati | 23 | 7 | 8 | 8 | 37 | 42 | -5 | 29 |
| 8 | New England RevolutionNew England | 22 | 6 | 9 | 7 | 32 | 34 | -2 | 27 |
| 9 | Chicago Fire | 23 | 7 | 6 | 10 | 24 | 28 | -4 | 27 |
| 10 | Charlotte FCCharlotte FC | 22 | 8 | 2 | 12 | 25 | 31 | -6 | 26 |
| 11 | Inter MiamiInter Miami | 22 | 7 | 5 | 10 | 26 | 37 | -11 | 26 |
| 12 | Atlanta UnitedAtlanta | 22 | 6 | 7 | 9 | 29 | 33 | -4 | 25 |
| 13 | Toronto | 23 | 6 | 5 | 12 | 30 | 39 | -9 | 23 |
| 14 | DC United | 21 | 6 | 3 | 12 | 28 | 44 | -16 | 21 |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia | 23 | 12 | 9 | 2 | 40 | 15 | 25 | 45 |
| 2 | New York City FCNY City | 22 | 12 | 6 | 4 | 41 | 21 | 20 | 42 |
| 3 | New York Red BullsNY Red Bulls | 23 | 10 | 6 | 7 | 38 | 30 | 8 | 36 |
| 4 | CF MontrealMontreal | 22 | 11 | 3 | 8 | 36 | 36 | 0 | 36 |
| 5 | Columbus Crew | 21 | 7 | 9 | 5 | 27 | 22 | 5 | 30 |
| 6 | Orlando City | 23 | 8 | 6 | 9 | 27 | 33 | -6 | 30 |
| 7 | FC CincinnatiCincinnati | 23 | 7 | 8 | 8 | 37 | 42 | -5 | 29 |
| 8 | New England RevolutionNew England | 22 | 6 | 9 | 7 | 32 | 34 | -2 | 27 |
| 9 | Chicago Fire | 23 | 7 | 6 | 10 | 24 | 28 | -4 | 27 |
| 10 | Charlotte FCCharlotte FC | 22 | 8 | 2 | 12 | 25 | 31 | -6 | 26 |
| 11 | Inter MiamiInter Miami | 22 | 7 | 5 | 10 | 26 | 37 | -11 | 26 |
| 12 | Atlanta UnitedAtlanta | 22 | 6 | 7 | 9 | 29 | 33 | -4 | 25 |
| 13 | Toronto | 23 | 6 | 5 | 12 | 30 | 39 | -9 | 23 |
| 14 | DC United | 21 | 6 | 3 | 12 | 28 | 44 | -16 | 21 |