Copa Libertadores | Quarter-Finals | 1st Leg
Aug 3, 2022 at 1.30am UK
Neo Química Arena (São Paulo, São Paulo)
Corinthians
0 - 2
Flamengo
More game data and we say below the videos
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Corinthians 1-0 Botafogo
Saturday, July 30 at 11pm in Brasileiro
Saturday, July 30 at 11pm in Brasileiro
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Palmeiras | 20 | 19 | 42 |
| 2 | Corinthians | 20 | 6 | 38 |
| 3 | Fluminense | 20 | 9 | 35 |
Last Game: Flamengo 4-1 Atletico GO
Sunday, July 31 at 12.30am in Brasileiro
Sunday, July 31 at 12.30am in Brasileiro
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 4 | Athletico Paranaense | 20 | 5 | 34 |
| 5 | Flamengo | 20 | 11 | 33 |
| 6 | Internacional | 20 | 10 | 33 |
We said: Corinthians 1-2 Flamengo
Tuesday's game sees two domestic rivals who are quite familiar with each other lock horns and this makes for an entertaining and exciting watch. While Corinthians and Flamengo both head into Tuesday in solid form, we are backing the visitors to do just enough to leave with a slender victory. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Flamengo win with a probability of 43.74%. A win for Corinthians had a probability of 30.1% and a draw had a probability of 26.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Flamengo win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.86%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.94%) and 0-2 (7.8%). The likeliest Corinthians win was 1-0 (8.66%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.44%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 7.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Flamengo would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Corinthians | Draw | Flamengo |
30.1% ( 0.02) | 26.16% ( -0.02) | 43.74% ( 0.01) |
| Both teams to score 51.98% ( 0.08) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
