Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Flamengo win with a probability of 65.06%. A draw had a probability of 20.5% and a win for Athletico Paranaense had a probability of 14.48%.

The most likely scoreline for a Flamengo win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.86%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (11.8%) and 2-1 (9.78%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.73%), while for an Athletico Paranaense win it was 0-1 (4.84%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 5.9% likelihood.