Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Flamengo win with a probability of 39.87%. A win for Santos had a probability of 32.63% and a draw had a probability of 27.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Flamengo win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.48%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.31%) and 0-2 (7.35%). The likeliest Santos win was 1-0 (10.14%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.99%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-2 win for Flamengo in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Flamengo.
-0.75) 
0.64) 
