League Two | Gameweek 46
May 8, 2023 at 12.30pm UK
The County Ground
Swindon
2 - 1
Crawley
More game data and we say below the videos
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Crewe 2-1 Swindon
Saturday, April 29 at 3pm in League Two
Saturday, April 29 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: Crawley 0-0 Walsall
Saturday, April 29 at 3pm in League Two
Saturday, April 29 at 3pm in League Two
We said: Swindon Town 1-0 Crawley Town
Swindon have been far too inconsistent to mount a push for the playoffs this season, but they should still have enough about them to beat 22nd-placed Crawley at the County Ground and sign off for the season on a positive note. The Red Devils have been very poor away from home all season, and with safety now a mathematical certainty, they have little to play for on Monday. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Swindon Town win with a probability of 52.84%. A draw had a probability of 24.3% and a win for Crawley Town had a probability of 22.82%.
The most likely scoreline for a Swindon Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.5%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.65%) and 2-0 (9.59%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.57%), while for a Crawley Town win it was 0-1 (6.95%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Swindon Town would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Swindon Town | Draw | Crawley Town |
52.84% ( -0.01) | 24.34% ( -0.01) | 22.82% ( 0.02) |
| Both teams to score 51.47% ( 0.04) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
