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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Swindon Town win with a probability of 47.17%. A win for Crewe Alexandra had a probability of 27.6% and a draw had a probability of 25.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Swindon Town win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.61%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.32%) and 0-2 (8.26%). The likeliest Crewe Alexandra win was 1-0 (7.7%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.98%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 6.8% likelihood.
Result | ||
Crewe Alexandra | Draw | Swindon Town |
27.6% (![]() | 25.22% (![]() | 47.17% (![]() |
Both teams to score 53.38% (![]() |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
50.26% (![]() | 49.74% (![]() |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
28.25% (![]() | 71.75% (![]() |
Crewe Alexandra Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
67.66% (![]() | 32.34% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
31.15% (![]() | 68.85% (![]() |
Swindon Town Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
78.89% (![]() | 21.1% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
46.06% (![]() | 53.93% |
Score Analysis |
Crewe Alexandra | Draw | Swindon Town |
1-0 @ 7.7% 2-1 @ 6.77% ( ![]() 2-0 @ 4.35% ( ![]() 3-1 @ 2.55% ( ![]() 3-2 @ 1.98% ( ![]() 3-0 @ 1.64% ( ![]() Other @ 2.62% Total : 27.6% | 1-1 @ 11.98% 0-0 @ 6.82% ( ![]() 2-2 @ 5.26% ( ![]() 3-3 @ 1.03% ( ![]() Other @ 0.12% Total : 25.22% | 0-1 @ 10.61% 1-2 @ 9.32% 0-2 @ 8.26% ( ![]() 1-3 @ 4.84% 0-3 @ 4.28% ( ![]() 2-3 @ 2.73% ( ![]() 1-4 @ 1.88% 0-4 @ 1.67% ( ![]() 2-4 @ 1.06% ( ![]() Other @ 2.52% Total : 47.17% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Leyton Orient | 46 | 26 | 13 | 7 | 61 | 34 | 27 | 91 |
2 | Stevenage | 46 | 24 | 13 | 9 | 61 | 39 | 22 | 85 |
P | Northampton TownNorthampton | 46 | 23 | 14 | 9 | 62 | 42 | 20 | 83 |
4 | Stockport CountyStockport | 46 | 22 | 13 | 11 | 65 | 37 | 28 | 79 |
5 | Carlisle UnitedCarlisle | 46 | 20 | 16 | 10 | 66 | 43 | 23 | 76 |
6 | Bradford CityBradford | 46 | 20 | 16 | 10 | 61 | 43 | 18 | 76 |
7 | Salford City | 46 | 22 | 9 | 15 | 72 | 54 | 18 | 75 |
8 | Mansfield TownMansfield | 46 | 21 | 12 | 13 | 72 | 55 | 17 | 75 |
9 | BarrowBarrow | 46 | 18 | 8 | 20 | 47 | 53 | -6 | 62 |
10 | Swindon TownSwindon | 46 | 16 | 13 | 17 | 61 | 55 | 6 | 61 |
11 | Grimsby Town | 46 | 16 | 13 | 17 | 49 | 56 | -7 | 61 |
12 | Tranmere RoversTranmere | 46 | 15 | 13 | 18 | 45 | 48 | -3 | 58 |
13 | Crewe AlexandraCrewe | 46 | 14 | 16 | 16 | 48 | 60 | -12 | 58 |
14 | Sutton UnitedSutton | 46 | 15 | 13 | 18 | 46 | 58 | -12 | 58 |
15 | Newport CountyNewport | 46 | 14 | 15 | 17 | 53 | 56 | -3 | 57 |
16 | Walsall | 46 | 12 | 19 | 15 | 46 | 49 | -3 | 55 |
17 | Gillingham | 46 | 14 | 13 | 19 | 36 | 49 | -13 | 55 |
18 | Doncaster RoversDoncaster | 46 | 16 | 7 | 23 | 46 | 65 | -19 | 55 |
19 | Harrogate TownHarrogate | 46 | 12 | 16 | 18 | 59 | 68 | -9 | 52 |
20 | Colchester UnitedColchester | 46 | 12 | 13 | 21 | 44 | 51 | -7 | 49 |
21 | AFC Wimbledon | 46 | 11 | 15 | 20 | 48 | 60 | -12 | 48 |
22 | Crawley TownCrawley | 46 | 11 | 13 | 22 | 48 | 71 | -23 | 46 |
R | Hartlepool UnitedHartlepool | 46 | 9 | 16 | 21 | 52 | 78 | -26 | 43 |
R | Rochdale | 46 | 9 | 11 | 26 | 46 | 70 | -24 | 38 |
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