

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Swindon Town win with a probability of 69.49%. A draw had a probability of 19% and a win for Crewe Alexandra had a probability of 11.52%.
The most likely scoreline for a Swindon Town win was 2-0 with a probability of 13.19%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (12.57%) and 2-1 (9.45%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9%), while for a Crewe Alexandra win it was 0-1 (4.29%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 4.3% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Swindon Town | Draw | Crewe Alexandra | 
| 69.49% (  0.21) | 18.99% (  -0.04) | 11.52% (  -0.16) | 
| Both teams to score 44.86% (  -0.37) | 
| Goals | 
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 
| 53.42% (  -0.22) | 46.58% (  0.22) | 
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 | 
| 31.15% (  -0.21) | 68.85% (  0.21) | 
| Swindon Town Goals | 
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 | 
| 87.75% (  -0) | 12.25% (  0.01) | 
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 62.03% (  -0.01) | 37.98% (  0.02) | 
| Crewe Alexandra Goals | 
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 | 
| 51.13% (  -0.42) | 48.87% (  0.42) | 
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 16.14% (  -0.3) | 83.86% (  0.31) | 
| Score Analysis | 
| Swindon Town | Draw | Crewe Alexandra | 
| 2-0 @ 13.19% (  0.11) 1-0 @ 12.57% (  0.12) 2-1 @ 9.45% (  -0.03) 3-0 @ 9.24% (  0.08) 3-1 @ 6.61% (  -0.02) 4-0 @ 4.85% (  0.04) 4-1 @ 3.47% (  -0.01) 3-2 @ 2.37% (  -0.04) 5-0 @ 2.04% (  0.02) 5-1 @ 1.46% (  -0.01) 4-2 @ 1.24% (  -0.02) Other @ 3.01% Total : 69.48% | 1-1 @ 9% (  -0.03) 0-0 @ 5.99% (  0.06) 2-2 @ 3.38% (  -0.05) Other @ 0.62% Total : 18.99% | 0-1 @ 4.29% (  -0.01) 1-2 @ 3.22% (  -0.05) 0-2 @ 1.54% (  -0.02) Other @ 2.47% Total : 11.52% | 

| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Stockport CountyStockport | 27 | 16 | 6 | 5 | 56 | 27 | 29 | 54 | 
| 2 | Wrexham | 26 | 15 | 7 | 4 | 54 | 36 | 18 | 52 | 
| 3 | Mansfield TownMansfield | 26 | 13 | 11 | 2 | 45 | 21 | 24 | 50 | 
| 4 | BarrowBarrow | 27 | 13 | 10 | 4 | 40 | 26 | 14 | 49 | 
| 5 | Crewe AlexandraCrewe | 27 | 13 | 8 | 6 | 50 | 40 | 10 | 47 | 
| 6 | Notts County | 27 | 13 | 4 | 10 | 60 | 52 | 8 | 43 | 
| 7 | MK Dons | 25 | 12 | 6 | 7 | 41 | 32 | 9 | 42 | 
| 8 | Gillingham | 26 | 13 | 2 | 11 | 23 | 31 | -8 | 41 | 
| 9 | Harrogate TownHarrogate | 27 | 12 | 4 | 11 | 34 | 35 | -1 | 40 | 
| 10 | AFC Wimbledon | 26 | 10 | 9 | 7 | 41 | 30 | 11 | 39 | 
| 11 | Crawley TownCrawley | 27 | 12 | 3 | 12 | 43 | 45 | -2 | 39 | 
| 12 | Accrington StanleyAccrington | 27 | 11 | 5 | 11 | 41 | 38 | 3 | 38 | 
| 13 | Walsall | 26 | 10 | 6 | 10 | 40 | 39 | 1 | 36 | 
| 14 | Bradford CityBradford | 27 | 9 | 8 | 10 | 34 | 36 | -2 | 35 | 
| 15 | Swindon TownSwindon | 28 | 9 | 7 | 12 | 50 | 54 | -4 | 34 | 
| 16 | Morecambe | 25 | 9 | 7 | 9 | 38 | 42 | -4 | 34 | 
| 17 | Newport CountyNewport | 27 | 9 | 7 | 11 | 39 | 45 | -6 | 34 | 
| 18 | Tranmere RoversTranmere | 28 | 10 | 3 | 15 | 43 | 42 | 1 | 33 | 
| 19 | Grimsby Town | 27 | 6 | 10 | 11 | 40 | 49 | -9 | 28 | 
| 20 | Doncaster RoversDoncaster | 27 | 8 | 4 | 15 | 31 | 47 | -16 | 28 | 
| 21 | Salford City | 27 | 7 | 6 | 14 | 35 | 48 | -13 | 27 | 
| 22 | Colchester UnitedColchester | 28 | 7 | 4 | 17 | 38 | 55 | -17 | 25 | 
| 23 | Sutton UnitedSutton | 26 | 4 | 7 | 15 | 30 | 54 | -24 | 19 | 
| 24 | Forest Green RoversForest Green | 26 | 4 | 6 | 16 | 26 | 48 | -22 | 18 | 
| > League Two Full Table | |||||||||
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
