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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Swindon Town win with a probability of 69.49%. A draw had a probability of 19% and a win for Crewe Alexandra had a probability of 11.52%.
The most likely scoreline for a Swindon Town win was 2-0 with a probability of 13.19%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (12.57%) and 2-1 (9.45%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9%), while for a Crewe Alexandra win it was 0-1 (4.29%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 4.3% likelihood.
Result | ||
Swindon Town | Draw | Crewe Alexandra |
69.49% (![]() | 18.99% (![]() | 11.52% (![]() |
Both teams to score 44.86% (![]() |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
53.42% (![]() | 46.58% (![]() |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
31.15% (![]() | 68.85% (![]() |
Swindon Town Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
87.75% (![]() | 12.25% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
62.03% (![]() | 37.98% (![]() |
Crewe Alexandra Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
51.13% (![]() | 48.87% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
16.14% (![]() | 83.86% (![]() |
Score Analysis |
Swindon Town | Draw | Crewe Alexandra |
2-0 @ 13.19% (![]() 1-0 @ 12.57% ( ![]() 2-1 @ 9.45% ( ![]() 3-0 @ 9.24% ( ![]() 3-1 @ 6.61% ( ![]() 4-0 @ 4.85% ( ![]() 4-1 @ 3.47% ( ![]() 3-2 @ 2.37% ( ![]() 5-0 @ 2.04% ( ![]() 5-1 @ 1.46% ( ![]() 4-2 @ 1.24% ( ![]() Other @ 3.01% Total : 69.48% | 1-1 @ 9% (![]() 0-0 @ 5.99% ( ![]() 2-2 @ 3.38% ( ![]() Other @ 0.62% Total : 18.99% | 0-1 @ 4.29% (![]() 1-2 @ 3.22% ( ![]() 0-2 @ 1.54% ( ![]() Other @ 2.47% Total : 11.52% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Stockport CountyStockport | 27 | 16 | 6 | 5 | 56 | 27 | 29 | 54 |
2 | Wrexham | 26 | 15 | 7 | 4 | 54 | 36 | 18 | 52 |
3 | Mansfield TownMansfield | 26 | 13 | 11 | 2 | 45 | 21 | 24 | 50 |
4 | BarrowBarrow | 27 | 13 | 10 | 4 | 40 | 26 | 14 | 49 |
5 | Crewe AlexandraCrewe | 27 | 13 | 8 | 6 | 50 | 40 | 10 | 47 |
6 | Notts County | 27 | 13 | 4 | 10 | 60 | 52 | 8 | 43 |
7 | MK Dons | 25 | 12 | 6 | 7 | 41 | 32 | 9 | 42 |
8 | Gillingham | 26 | 13 | 2 | 11 | 23 | 31 | -8 | 41 |
9 | Harrogate TownHarrogate | 27 | 12 | 4 | 11 | 34 | 35 | -1 | 40 |
10 | AFC Wimbledon | 26 | 10 | 9 | 7 | 41 | 30 | 11 | 39 |
11 | Crawley TownCrawley | 27 | 12 | 3 | 12 | 43 | 45 | -2 | 39 |
12 | Accrington StanleyAccrington | 27 | 11 | 5 | 11 | 41 | 38 | 3 | 38 |
13 | Walsall | 26 | 10 | 6 | 10 | 40 | 39 | 1 | 36 |
14 | Bradford CityBradford | 27 | 9 | 8 | 10 | 34 | 36 | -2 | 35 |
15 | Swindon TownSwindon | 28 | 9 | 7 | 12 | 50 | 54 | -4 | 34 |
16 | Morecambe | 25 | 9 | 7 | 9 | 38 | 42 | -4 | 34 |
17 | Newport CountyNewport | 27 | 9 | 7 | 11 | 39 | 45 | -6 | 34 |
18 | Tranmere RoversTranmere | 28 | 10 | 3 | 15 | 43 | 42 | 1 | 33 |
19 | Grimsby Town | 27 | 6 | 10 | 11 | 40 | 49 | -9 | 28 |
20 | Doncaster RoversDoncaster | 27 | 8 | 4 | 15 | 31 | 47 | -16 | 28 |
21 | Salford City | 27 | 7 | 6 | 14 | 35 | 48 | -13 | 27 |
22 | Colchester UnitedColchester | 28 | 7 | 4 | 17 | 38 | 55 | -17 | 25 |
23 | Sutton UnitedSutton | 26 | 4 | 7 | 15 | 30 | 54 | -24 | 19 |
24 | Forest Green RoversForest Green | 26 | 4 | 6 | 16 | 26 | 48 | -22 | 18 |
> League Two Full Table |