Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Crewe Alexandra win with a probability of 39.69%. A win for Doncaster Rovers had a probability of 33.29% and a draw had a probability of 27%.
The most likely scoreline for a Crewe Alexandra win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.4%) and 2-0 (7.14%). The likeliest Doncaster Rovers win was 0-1 (9.79%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.82%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.8% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Crewe Alexandra | Draw | Doncaster Rovers |
| 39.69% ( | 27.02% ( | 33.29% ( |
| Both teams to score 50.5% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 45.27% ( | 54.73% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 23.95% ( | 76.05% ( |
| Crewe Alexandra Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.03% ( | 26.97% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 37.68% ( | 62.32% ( |
| Doncaster Rovers Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 69.15% ( | 30.85% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 32.87% ( | 67.13% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Crewe Alexandra | Draw | Doncaster Rovers |
| 1-0 @ 10.9% ( 2-1 @ 8.4% ( 2-0 @ 7.14% ( 3-1 @ 3.67% ( 3-0 @ 3.12% ( 3-2 @ 2.16% ( 4-1 @ 1.2% ( 4-0 @ 1.02% ( Other @ 2.08% Total : 39.69% | 1-1 @ 12.82% ( 0-0 @ 8.32% ( 2-2 @ 4.94% ( Other @ 0.93% Total : 27.01% | 0-1 @ 9.79% ( 1-2 @ 7.54% ( 0-2 @ 5.76% ( 1-3 @ 2.96% ( 0-3 @ 2.26% ( 2-3 @ 1.94% ( Other @ 3.06% Total : 33.29% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Leyton Orient | 38 | 22 | 11 | 5 | 50 | 25 | 25 | 77 |
| 2 | Northampton TownNorthampton | 39 | 19 | 13 | 7 | 53 | 34 | 19 | 70 |
| 3 | Stevenage | 38 | 19 | 11 | 8 | 52 | 35 | 17 | 68 |
| 4 | Carlisle UnitedCarlisle | 39 | 18 | 12 | 9 | 58 | 37 | 21 | 66 |
| 5 | Stockport CountyStockport | 39 | 18 | 10 | 11 | 52 | 33 | 19 | 64 |
| 6 | Bradford CityBradford | 38 | 17 | 13 | 8 | 48 | 34 | 14 | 64 |
| 7 | Salford City | 39 | 18 | 9 | 12 | 61 | 44 | 17 | 63 |
| 8 | Mansfield TownMansfield | 38 | 17 | 10 | 11 | 59 | 46 | 13 | 61 |
| 9 | BarrowBarrow | 39 | 17 | 7 | 15 | 42 | 44 | -2 | 58 |
| 10 | Sutton UnitedSutton | 39 | 15 | 12 | 12 | 41 | 41 | 0 | 57 |
| 11 | Swindon TownSwindon | 38 | 13 | 12 | 13 | 50 | 45 | 5 | 51 |
| 12 | Doncaster RoversDoncaster | 39 | 15 | 6 | 18 | 40 | 54 | -14 | 51 |
| 13 | Walsall | 39 | 11 | 17 | 11 | 40 | 36 | 4 | 50 |
| 14 | Tranmere RoversTranmere | 39 | 13 | 11 | 15 | 38 | 40 | -2 | 50 |
| 15 | Grimsby Town | 38 | 12 | 12 | 14 | 41 | 46 | -5 | 48 |
| 16 | AFC Wimbledon | 40 | 11 | 13 | 16 | 41 | 46 | -5 | 46 |
| 17 | Crewe AlexandraCrewe | 38 | 10 | 15 | 13 | 36 | 47 | -11 | 45 |
| 18 | Newport CountyNewport | 38 | 10 | 14 | 14 | 38 | 43 | -5 | 44 |
| 19 | Gillingham | 39 | 11 | 11 | 17 | 27 | 42 | -15 | 44 |
| 20 | Harrogate TownHarrogate | 38 | 9 | 12 | 17 | 43 | 55 | -12 | 39 |
| 21 | Colchester UnitedColchester | 39 | 9 | 11 | 19 | 34 | 46 | -12 | 38 |
| 22 | Crawley TownCrawley | 39 | 9 | 10 | 20 | 43 | 64 | -21 | 37 |
| 23 | Hartlepool UnitedHartlepool | 39 | 7 | 14 | 18 | 43 | 68 | -25 | 35 |
| 24 | Rochdale | 39 | 7 | 8 | 24 | 34 | 59 | -25 | 29 |
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