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National League South | Gameweek 41
Apr 1, 2023 at 3pm UK
Court Place Farm
Oxford City
4 - 0
Tonbridge Angels
Lolas (16', 48', 54' pen.), Davies (24')
FT(HT: 2-0)
Coverage of the National League South clash between Oxford City and Tonbridge Angels.
More game data and we say below the videos

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Dulwich Hamlet 2-2 Oxford City
Saturday, March 25 at 3pm in National League South
Last Game: Tonbridge Angels 4-3 Hungerford
Saturday, March 25 at 3pm in National League South

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Oxford City win with a probability of 55.78%. A draw had a probability of 22.3% and a win for Tonbridge Angels had a probability of 21.91%.

The most likely scoreline for a Oxford City win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.88%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.42%) and 2-0 (8.93%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.42%), while for a Tonbridge Angels win it was 1-2 (5.77%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 2.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Oxford City would win this match.

Result
Oxford CityDrawTonbridge Angels
55.78% (0.114 0.11) 22.31% (-0.068000000000001 -0.07) 21.91% (-0.043000000000003 -0.04)
Both teams to score 56.88% (0.177 0.18)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
57.73% (0.263 0.26)42.27% (-0.26 -0.26)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
35.33% (0.264 0.26)64.67% (-0.259 -0.26)
Oxford City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
84.98% (0.13 0.13)15.02% (-0.125 -0.13)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
56.51% (0.242 0.24)43.5% (-0.239 -0.24)
Tonbridge Angels Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.93% (0.11 0.11)33.07% (-0.107 -0.11)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
30.34% (0.122 0.12)69.66% (-0.119 -0.12)
Score Analysis
    Oxford City 55.78%
    Tonbridge Angels 21.91%
    Draw 22.31%
Oxford CityDrawTonbridge Angels
2-1 @ 9.88% (0.0020000000000007 0)
1-0 @ 9.42% (-0.068 -0.07)
2-0 @ 8.93% (-0.025 -0.03)
3-1 @ 6.24% (0.029 0.03)
3-0 @ 5.64% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
3-2 @ 3.45% (0.026 0.03)
4-1 @ 2.96% (0.026 0.03)
4-0 @ 2.67% (0.016 0.02)
4-2 @ 1.64% (0.02 0.02)
5-1 @ 1.12% (0.015 0.02)
5-0 @ 1.01% (0.011 0.01)
Other @ 2.82%
Total : 55.78%
1-1 @ 10.42% (-0.040000000000001 -0.04)
2-2 @ 5.47% (0.016999999999999 0.02)
0-0 @ 4.97% (-0.058000000000001 -0.06)
3-3 @ 1.27% (0.014 0.01)
Other @ 0.18%
Total : 22.31%
1-2 @ 5.77% (-0.008 -0.01)
0-1 @ 5.5% (-0.047999999999999 -0.05)
0-2 @ 3.04% (-0.017 -0.02)
1-3 @ 2.13% (0.0029999999999997 0)
2-3 @ 2.02% (0.013 0.01)
0-3 @ 1.12% (-0.0029999999999999 -0)
Other @ 2.34%
Total : 21.91%

Head to Head
Oct 8, 2022 3pm
Tonbridge Angels
2-2
Oxford City
Soares-Junior (53'), Santos (67')
Ashby (26'), Parker (45')
Mar 5, 2022 3pm
Oxford City
5-0
Tonbridge Angels
Ashby (13', 20'), O'Donkor (61'), Iaciofano (82'), Clark (90+1')
Oct 30, 2021 3pm
Oct 17, 2020 3pm
rhs 2.0
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