Shonan Bellmare 4-1 Gamba Osaka - J1 League - April 1, 2023 - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings - Football

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Shonan Bellmare win with a probability of 49.55%. A draw had a probability of 26.5% and a win for Gamba Osaka had a probability of 23.99%.

The most likely scoreline for a Shonan Bellmare win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.31%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.76%) and 2-1 (9.1%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.42%), while for a Gamba Osaka win it was 0-1 (8.47%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 1.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Shonan Bellmare would win this match.

Result
Shonan Bellmare	Draw	Gamba Osaka
49.55% ( 0.18)	26.45% ( -0.05)	23.99% ( -0.13)

Both teams to score 46.65% (

0.01)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

42.99% (

0.08)

57% (

-0.08)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

22.1% (

0.07)

77.9% (

-0.07)

Shonan Bellmare Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

76.91% (

0.12)

23.08% (

-0.12)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

43.07% (

0.17)

56.92% (

-0.18)

Gamba Osaka Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

60.65% (

-0.08)

39.35% (

0.08)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

23.95% (

-0.07)

76.05% (

0.07)

Score Analysis

Shonan Bellmare 49.54%

Gamba Osaka 23.99%

Draw 26.45%

Shonan Bellmare	Draw	Gamba Osaka
1-0 @ 13.31% 2-0 @ 9.76% ( 0.04) 2-1 @ 9.1% ( 0.02) 3-0 @ 4.77% ( 0.03) 3-1 @ 4.45% ( 0.02) 3-2 @ 2.08% ( 0.01) 4-0 @ 1.75% ( 0.02) 4-1 @ 1.63% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.69% Total : 49.54%	1-1 @ 12.42% ( -0.02) 0-0 @ 9.08% ( -0.03) 2-2 @ 4.25% ( -0) Other @ 0.7% Total : 26.45%	0-1 @ 8.47% ( -0.04) 1-2 @ 5.79% ( -0.02) 0-2 @ 3.95% ( -0.03) 1-3 @ 1.8% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 1.32% ( -0) 0-3 @ 1.23% ( -0.01) Other @ 1.43% Total : 23.99%