Gamba Osaka 1-1 Sagan Tosu - J1 League - February 25, 2023 - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings - Football

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Gamba Osaka win with a probability of 39.38%. A win for Sagan Tosu had a probability of 34.25% and a draw had a probability of 26.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Gamba Osaka win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.09%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.48%) and 2-0 (6.83%). The likeliest Sagan Tosu win was 0-1 (9.28%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.54%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.5% likelihood.

Result
Gamba Osaka	Draw	Sagan Tosu
39.38% ( -0.12)	26.38% ( 0.08)	34.25% ( 0.04)

Both teams to score 52.73% (

-0.26)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

48.02% (

-0.34)

51.98% (

0.34)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

26.28% (

-0.29)

73.72% (

0.29)

Gamba Osaka Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

74.13% (

-0.22)

25.87% (

0.22)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

39.15% (

-0.3)

60.85% (

0.3)

Sagan Tosu Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

71.14% (

-0.14)

28.86% (

0.14)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

35.27% (

-0.18)

64.73% (

0.18)

Score Analysis

Gamba Osaka 39.37%

Sagan Tosu 34.25%

Draw 26.37%

Gamba Osaka	Draw	Sagan Tosu
1-0 @ 10.09% ( 0.07) 2-1 @ 8.48% ( -0.03) 2-0 @ 6.83% ( 0.01) 3-1 @ 3.82% ( -0.04) 3-0 @ 3.08% ( -0.02) 3-2 @ 2.38% ( -0.03) 4-1 @ 1.29% ( -0.02) 4-0 @ 1.04% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.37% Total : 39.37%	1-1 @ 12.54% ( 0.04) 0-0 @ 7.47% ( 0.1) 2-2 @ 5.27% ( -0.04) 3-3 @ 0.98% ( -0.02) Other @ 0.11% Total : 26.37%	0-1 @ 9.28% ( 0.09) 1-2 @ 7.8% ( -0.01) 0-2 @ 5.77% ( 0.03) 1-3 @ 3.23% ( -0.02) 0-3 @ 2.39% ( 0) 2-3 @ 2.18% ( -0.02) 1-4 @ 1% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.61% Total : 34.25%