Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Manchester City Under-21s win with a probability of 48.22%. A win for Chelsea Under-21s had a probability of 30.17% and a draw had a probability of 21.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Manchester City Under-21s win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.91%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-1 (5.92%) and 1-0 (5.77%). The likeliest Chelsea Under-21s win was 1-2 (6.92%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.93%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 5.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Manchester City Under-21s would win this match.