Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chelsea Under-21s win with a probability of 59.89%. A win for Manchester United Under-21s had a probability of 21.34% and a draw had a probability of 18.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Chelsea Under-21s win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.88%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-3 (7.24%) and 0-2 (6.23%). The likeliest Manchester United Under-21s win was 2-1 (5.18%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (7.27%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 7.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Chelsea Under-21s would win this match.