Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Union Berlin win with a probability of 40.72%. A win for Augsburg had a probability of 31.37% and a draw had a probability of 27.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Union Berlin win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.18%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.29%) and 0-2 (7.71%). The likeliest Augsburg win was 1-0 (10.34%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.09%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.3% likelihood.