Bundesliga | Gameweek 26
Apr 1, 2023 at 2.30pm UK
Stadion An der Alten Försterei
Union Berlin
3 - 0
Stuttgart
More game data and we say below the videos
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Union Berlin 2-0 Frankfurt
Sunday, March 19 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga
Sunday, March 19 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga
Last Game: Stuttgart 0-1 Wolfsburg
Saturday, March 18 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga
Saturday, March 18 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga
We said: Union Berlin 2-1 Stuttgart
Despite there being 28 points and 15 positions separating these two teams prior to Saturday's encounter, we can envisage a closely-fought affair at Stadion An der Alten Forsterei. As previously discussed, Stuttgart have found themselves on the wrong end of several tight games so far this season, and we can envisage a similar outcome with the hosts marginally prevailing this weekend. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Union Berlin win with a probability of 57.3%. A draw had a probability of 22.6% and a win for Stuttgart had a probability of 20.09%.
The most likely scoreline for a Union Berlin win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.77%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.94%) and 2-1 (9.9%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.72%), while for a Stuttgart win it was 0-1 (5.81%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 6.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Union Berlin would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Union Berlin | Draw | Stuttgart |
57.3% ( 0.23) | 22.61% ( -0.09) | 20.09% ( -0.14) |
| Both teams to score 53.09% ( 0.06) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 54.03% ( 0.19) | 45.97% ( -0.19) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 31.72% ( 0.18) | 68.28% ( -0.18) |
| Union Berlin Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 84.21% ( 0.14) | 15.79% ( -0.14) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 55.06% ( 0.26) | 44.94% ( -0.26) |
| Stuttgart Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 63.05% ( -0.03) | 36.95% ( 0.03) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 26.26% ( -0.03) | 73.74% ( 0.03) |
| Score Analysis |
Union Berlin 57.3%
Stuttgart 20.09%
Draw 22.61%
| Union Berlin | Draw | Stuttgart |
| 1-0 @ 10.77% ( -0.03) 2-0 @ 9.94% ( 0.02)2-1 @ 9.9% ( 0.01)3-0 @ 6.12% ( 0.04)3-1 @ 6.09% ( 0.03)3-2 @ 3.03% ( 0.01)4-0 @ 2.82% ( 0.03)4-1 @ 2.81% ( 0.03)4-2 @ 1.4% ( 0.01)5-0 @ 1.04% ( 0.02)5-1 @ 1.04% ( 0.02)Other @ 2.35% Total : 57.3% | 1-1 @ 10.72% ( -0.04) 0-0 @ 5.84% ( -0.05)2-2 @ 4.93% 3-3 @ 1.01% ( 0)Other @ 0.12% Total : 22.61% | 0-1 @ 5.81% ( -0.05) 1-2 @ 5.34% ( -0.03)0-2 @ 2.89% ( -0.03)1-3 @ 1.77% ( -0.01)2-3 @ 1.64% ( -0)0-3 @ 0.96% ( -0.01)Other @ 1.68% Total : 20.09% |
How you voted: Union Berlin vs Stuttgart
Union Berlin
87.1%Draw
2.9%Stuttgart
10.0%70
Head to Head
Oct 9, 2022 6.30pm
Mar 12, 2022 2.30pm
Apr 17, 2021 2.30pm
Dec 15, 2020 7.30pm
Form Guide
