Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bayern Munich win with a probability of 76.77%. A draw had a probability of 14.6% and a win for Union Berlin had a probability of 8.59%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bayern Munich win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.87%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (10.22%) and 1-0 (9.18%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.91%), while for a Union Berlin win it was 0-1 (2.67%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 10.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Bayern Munich would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Bayern Munich | Draw | Union Berlin |
| 76.77% ( | 14.65% ( | 8.59% ( |
| Both teams to score 48.89% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 64.8% ( | 35.2% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 42.79% ( | 57.21% ( |
| Bayern Munich Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 92.46% ( | 7.54% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 72.97% ( | 27.03% ( |
| Union Berlin Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 52.88% | 47.12% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 17.42% | 82.58% |
| Score Analysis |
| Bayern Munich | Draw | Union Berlin |
| 2-0 @ 11.87% ( 3-0 @ 10.22% ( 1-0 @ 9.18% ( 2-1 @ 8.93% ( 3-1 @ 7.7% ( 4-0 @ 6.61% ( 4-1 @ 4.97% ( 5-0 @ 3.42% ( 3-2 @ 2.9% ( 5-1 @ 2.57% ( 4-2 @ 1.87% ( 6-0 @ 1.47% ( 6-1 @ 1.11% ( 5-2 @ 0.97% ( Other @ 2.97% Total : 76.76% | 1-1 @ 6.91% ( 0-0 @ 3.55% ( 2-2 @ 3.36% ( Other @ 0.82% Total : 14.65% | 0-1 @ 2.67% ( 1-2 @ 2.6% ( 0-2 @ 1.01% ( Other @ 2.31% Total : 8.59% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| C | Bayern MunichBayern | 34 | 21 | 8 | 5 | 92 | 38 | 54 | 71 |
| 2 | Borussia DortmundDortmund | 34 | 22 | 5 | 7 | 83 | 44 | 39 | 71 |
| 3 | RB Leipzig | 34 | 20 | 6 | 8 | 64 | 41 | 23 | 66 |
| 4 | Union BerlinUnion Berlin | 34 | 18 | 8 | 8 | 51 | 38 | 13 | 62 |
| 5 | Freiburg | 34 | 17 | 8 | 9 | 51 | 44 | 7 | 59 |
| 6 | Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen | 34 | 14 | 8 | 12 | 57 | 49 | 8 | 50 |
| 7 | Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt | 34 | 13 | 11 | 10 | 58 | 52 | 6 | 50 |
| 8 | Wolfsburg | 34 | 13 | 10 | 11 | 57 | 48 | 9 | 49 |
| 9 | Mainz 05Mainz | 34 | 12 | 10 | 12 | 54 | 55 | -1 | 46 |
| 10 | Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach | 34 | 11 | 10 | 13 | 52 | 55 | -3 | 43 |
| 11 | FC Koln | 34 | 10 | 12 | 12 | 49 | 54 | -5 | 42 |
| 12 | Hoffenheim | 34 | 10 | 6 | 18 | 48 | 57 | -9 | 36 |
| 13 | Werder Bremen | 34 | 10 | 6 | 18 | 51 | 64 | -13 | 36 |
| 14 | VfL BochumVfL Bochum | 34 | 10 | 5 | 19 | 40 | 72 | -32 | 35 |
| 15 | Augsburg | 34 | 9 | 7 | 18 | 42 | 63 | -21 | 34 |
| 16 | Stuttgart | 34 | 7 | 12 | 15 | 45 | 57 | -12 | 33 |
| R | Schalke 04Schalke | 34 | 7 | 10 | 17 | 35 | 71 | -36 | 31 |
| R | Hertha Berlin | 34 | 7 | 8 | 19 | 42 | 69 | -27 | 29 |
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