

| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 2 | Bayern Munich | 4 | 14 | 10 |
| 3 | Union Berlin | 4 | 8 | 10 |
| 4 | Freiburg | 4 | 4 | 9 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Borussia Dortmund | 5 | 4 | 12 |
| 2 | Bayern Munich | 4 | 14 | 10 |
| 3 | Union Berlin | 4 | 8 | 10 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bayern Munich win with a probability of 80.53%. A draw had a probability of 12.3% and a win for Union Berlin had a probability of 7.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bayern Munich win was 0-2 with a probability of 10.31%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-3 (10.08%) and 1-2 (8.23%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (5.61%), while for a Union Berlin win it was 2-1 (2.24%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 5.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-1 draw for this match.
| Result | ||
| Union Berlin | Draw | Bayern Munich |
| 7.2% ( | 12.28% ( | 80.53% ( |
| Both teams to score 52.04% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 71.98% ( | 28.02% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 51.24% ( | 48.77% ( |
| Union Berlin Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 54.97% ( | 45.04% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 19.04% ( | 80.96% ( |
| Bayern Munich Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 94.68% ( | 5.32% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 79.07% ( | 20.93% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Union Berlin | Draw | Bayern Munich |
| 2-1 @ 2.24% ( 1-0 @ 1.91% ( Other @ 3.05% Total : 7.2% | 1-1 @ 5.61% ( 2-2 @ 3.28% ( 0-0 @ 2.4% ( Other @ 0.99% Total : 12.28% | 0-2 @ 10.31% ( 0-3 @ 10.08% ( 1-2 @ 8.23% ( 1-3 @ 8.04% ( 0-4 @ 7.39% ( 0-1 @ 7.03% ( 1-4 @ 5.9% ( 0-5 @ 4.34% ( 1-5 @ 3.46% ( 2-3 @ 3.21% ( 2-4 @ 2.35% ( 0-6 @ 2.12% ( 1-6 @ 1.69% ( 2-5 @ 1.38% ( Other @ 4.99% Total : 80.52% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| C | Bayern MunichBayern | 34 | 21 | 8 | 5 | 92 | 38 | 54 | 71 |
| 2 | Borussia DortmundDortmund | 34 | 22 | 5 | 7 | 83 | 44 | 39 | 71 |
| 3 | RB Leipzig | 34 | 20 | 6 | 8 | 64 | 41 | 23 | 66 |
| 4 | Union BerlinUnion Berlin | 34 | 18 | 8 | 8 | 51 | 38 | 13 | 62 |
| 5 | Freiburg | 34 | 17 | 8 | 9 | 51 | 44 | 7 | 59 |
| 6 | Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen | 34 | 14 | 8 | 12 | 57 | 49 | 8 | 50 |
| 7 | Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt | 34 | 13 | 11 | 10 | 58 | 52 | 6 | 50 |
| 8 | Wolfsburg | 34 | 13 | 10 | 11 | 57 | 48 | 9 | 49 |
| 9 | Mainz 05Mainz | 34 | 12 | 10 | 12 | 54 | 55 | -1 | 46 |
| 10 | Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach | 34 | 11 | 10 | 13 | 52 | 55 | -3 | 43 |
| 11 | FC Koln | 34 | 10 | 12 | 12 | 49 | 54 | -5 | 42 |
| 12 | Hoffenheim | 34 | 10 | 6 | 18 | 48 | 57 | -9 | 36 |
| 13 | Werder Bremen | 34 | 10 | 6 | 18 | 51 | 64 | -13 | 36 |
| 14 | VfL BochumVfL Bochum | 34 | 10 | 5 | 19 | 40 | 72 | -32 | 35 |
| 15 | Augsburg | 34 | 9 | 7 | 18 | 42 | 63 | -21 | 34 |
| 16 | Stuttgart | 34 | 7 | 12 | 15 | 45 | 57 | -12 | 33 |
| R | Schalke 04Schalke | 34 | 7 | 10 | 17 | 35 | 71 | -36 | 31 |
| R | Hertha Berlin | 34 | 7 | 8 | 19 | 42 | 69 | -27 | 29 |
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