

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Union Berlin win with a probability of 58.04%. A draw had a probability of 22.3% and a win for Schalke 04 had a probability of 19.66%.
The most likely scoreline for a Union Berlin win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.6%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.96%) and 2-1 (9.92%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.55%), while for a Schalke 04 win it was 0-1 (5.62%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 5.6% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Union Berlin | Draw | Schalke 04 | 
| 58.04% ( | 22.3% ( | 19.66% ( | 
| Both teams to score 53.42% ( | 
| Goals | 
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 
| 54.81% ( | 45.19% ( | 
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 | 
| 32.47% ( | 67.53% ( | 
| Union Berlin Goals | 
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 | 
| 84.72% ( | 15.28% ( | 
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 56.02% ( | 43.98% ( | 
| Schalke 04 Goals | 
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 | 
| 63.05% ( | 36.95% ( | 
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 26.26% ( | 73.74% ( | 
| Score Analysis | 
| Union Berlin | Draw | Schalke 04 | 
| 1-0 @ 10.6% ( 2-0 @ 9.96% ( 2-1 @ 9.92% ( 3-0 @ 6.24% ( 3-1 @ 6.21% ( 3-2 @ 3.09% ( 4-0 @ 2.93% ( 4-1 @ 2.92% ( 4-2 @ 1.45% ( 5-0 @ 1.1% ( 5-1 @ 1.1% ( Other @ 2.51% Total : 58.04%  | 1-1 @ 10.55% ( 0-0 @ 5.64% ( 2-2 @ 4.94% ( 3-3 @ 1.03% Other @ 0.13% Total : 22.29%  | 0-1 @ 5.62% ( 1-2 @ 5.26% ( 0-2 @ 2.8% ( 1-3 @ 1.75% ( 2-3 @ 1.64% ( 0-3 @ 0.93% ( Other @ 1.67% Total : 19.66%  | 
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| C | Bayern MunichBayern | 34 | 21 | 8 | 5 | 92 | 38 | 54 | 71 | 
| 2 | Borussia DortmundDortmund | 34 | 22 | 5 | 7 | 83 | 44 | 39 | 71 | 
| 3 | RB Leipzig | 34 | 20 | 6 | 8 | 64 | 41 | 23 | 66 | 
| 4 | Union BerlinUnion Berlin | 34 | 18 | 8 | 8 | 51 | 38 | 13 | 62 | 
| 5 | Freiburg | 34 | 17 | 8 | 9 | 51 | 44 | 7 | 59 | 
| 6 | Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen | 34 | 14 | 8 | 12 | 57 | 49 | 8 | 50 | 
| 7 | Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt | 34 | 13 | 11 | 10 | 58 | 52 | 6 | 50 | 
| 8 | Wolfsburg | 34 | 13 | 10 | 11 | 57 | 48 | 9 | 49 | 
| 9 | Mainz 05Mainz | 34 | 12 | 10 | 12 | 54 | 55 | -1 | 46 | 
| 10 | Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach | 34 | 11 | 10 | 13 | 52 | 55 | -3 | 43 | 
| 11 | FC Koln | 34 | 10 | 12 | 12 | 49 | 54 | -5 | 42 | 
| 12 | Hoffenheim | 34 | 10 | 6 | 18 | 48 | 57 | -9 | 36 | 
| 13 | Werder Bremen | 34 | 10 | 6 | 18 | 51 | 64 | -13 | 36 | 
| 14 | VfL BochumVfL Bochum | 34 | 10 | 5 | 19 | 40 | 72 | -32 | 35 | 
| 15 | Augsburg | 34 | 9 | 7 | 18 | 42 | 63 | -21 | 34 | 
| 16 | Stuttgart | 34 | 7 | 12 | 15 | 45 | 57 | -12 | 33 | 
| R | Schalke 04Schalke | 34 | 7 | 10 | 17 | 35 | 71 | -36 | 31 | 
| R | Hertha Berlin | 34 | 7 | 8 | 19 | 42 | 69 | -27 | 29 | 
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