Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Union Berlin win with a probability of 38.43%. A win for Schalke 04 had a probability of 35.86% and a draw had a probability of 25.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Union Berlin win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.15%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.45%) and 2-0 (6.35%). The likeliest Schalke 04 win was 0-1 (8.78%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.18%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.2% likelihood.
