Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Union Berlin win with a probability of 38.7%. A win for Schalke 04 had a probability of 35.9% and a draw had a probability of 25.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Union Berlin win was 0-1 with a probability of 8.85%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.51%) and 0-2 (6.27%). The likeliest Schalke 04 win was 1-0 (8.46%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.99%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 12% likelihood.
