Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Wolfsburg win with a probability of 47.06%. A win for Schalke 04 had a probability of 29.16% and a draw had a probability of 23.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Wolfsburg win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.37%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.53%) and 0-2 (7.26%). The likeliest Schalke 04 win was 2-1 (7.12%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.01%). The actual scoreline of 1-4 was predicted with a 2.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Wolfsburg would win this match.
