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Serie A | Gameweek 22
Feb 10, 2023 at 7.45pm UK
Stadio Giuseppe Meazza
Torino logo
AC Milan
1 - 0
Torino
Giroud (62')
Kjaer (32')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Gineitis (25'), Buongiorno (49'), Schuurs (68'), Radonjic (82')
The Match
Preview
Sports Mole previews Friday's Serie A clash between AC Milan and Torino, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.
Injuries & Suspensions
Sports Mole rounds up Tottenham Hotspur's latest injury and suspension news ahead of the first leg of Tuesday's Champions League tie with AC Milan.
More game data and we say below the videos

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Torino 1-0 Udinese
Sunday, February 5 at 2pm in Serie A

We said: AC Milan 1-1 Torino

Having shown precious few signs of improvement in the derby, Milan are in damage-limitation mode and would probably take a point if offered before kickoff. They may manage to hold out for a draw, as Torino often lack a cutting edge to match some encouraging approach play. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AC Milan win with a probability of 58.34%. A draw had a probability of 23.1% and a win for Torino had a probability of 18.56%.

The most likely scoreline for an AC Milan win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.31%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.95%) and 2-1 (9.76%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.97%), while for a Torino win it was 0-1 (6.17%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 12.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for AC Milan in this match.

Result
AC MilanDrawTorino
58.34% (0.083000000000006 0.08) 23.1% (-0.038 -0.04) 18.56% (-0.044 -0.04)
Both teams to score 49.02% (0.036000000000001 0.04)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
49.9% (0.085999999999999 0.09)50.1% (-0.083999999999996 -0.08)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
27.93% (0.076000000000001 0.08)72.07% (-0.075000000000003 -0.08)
AC Milan Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
83.12% (0.063000000000002 0.06)16.88% (-0.061 -0.06)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
53.08% (0.105 0.11)46.92% (-0.104 -0.1)
Torino Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
58.98% (-0.00099999999999767 -0)41.02% (0.0020000000000024 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
22.43% (-0.00099999999999767 -0)77.57% (0.0020000000000095 0)
Score Analysis
    AC Milan 58.32%
    Torino 18.56%
    Draw 23.09%
AC MilanDrawTorino
1-0 @ 12.31% (-0.02 -0.02)
2-0 @ 10.95%
2-1 @ 9.76% (0.0039999999999996 0)
3-0 @ 6.5% (0.016 0.02)
3-1 @ 5.79% (0.014 0.01)
4-0 @ 2.89% (0.012 0.01)
3-2 @ 2.58% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
4-1 @ 2.58% (0.011 0.01)
4-2 @ 1.15% (0.0050000000000001 0.01)
5-0 @ 1.03% (0.0070000000000001 0.01)
5-1 @ 0.92% (0.006 0.01)
Other @ 1.88%
Total : 58.32%
1-1 @ 10.97% (-0.02 -0.02)
0-0 @ 6.93% (-0.024 -0.02)
2-2 @ 4.35% (0.0019999999999998 0)
Other @ 0.85%
Total : 23.09%
0-1 @ 6.17% (-0.021999999999999 -0.02)
1-2 @ 4.89% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
0-2 @ 2.75% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
1-3 @ 1.45% (-0.002 -0)
2-3 @ 1.29%
Other @ 2%
Total : 18.56%

How you voted: AC Milan vs Torino

AC Milan
60.3%
Draw
21.7%
Torino
17.9%
184
Head to Head
Jan 11, 2023 8pm
Round of 16
AC Milan
0-1
Torino
Adopo (114')
Djidji (14'), Milinkovic-Savic (90+2'), Linetty (109')
Djidji (69')
Oct 30, 2022 7.45pm
Apr 10, 2022 7.45pm
Torino
0-0
AC Milan

Lukic (14'), Pobega (31'), Juric (61')

Tomori (18'), Kalulu (36'), Pioli (90+8')
Oct 26, 2021 7.45pm
AC Milan
1-0
Torino
Giroud (14')
Romagnoli (10'), Kalulu (34'), Bakayoko (90+3')

Buongiorno (5'), Singo (24'), Pobega (57')
May 12, 2021 7.45pm
Torino
0-7
AC Milan

Baselli (44'), Linetty (48')
Hernandez (19', 62'), Kessie (26' pen.), Diaz (50'), Rebic (67', 72', 79')
Bennacer (41')
rhs 2.0
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Tables
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CNapoli37276475284787
2Lazio37218858302871
3Inter Milan372231270422869
4AC Milan371910861421967
5Atalanta BCAtalanta371871261461561
6Roma371791148371160
7Juventus372161055332259
8Torino371411124240253
9Fiorentina371411125042853
10Monza371410134647-152
11Bologna371312125047351
12Udinese371113134747046
13SassuoloSassuolo37129164658-1245
14Empoli371013143747-1043
15Salernitana37915134860-1242
16Lecce37812173143-1236
17SpeziaSpezia37613183060-3031
18Hellas VeronaHellas Verona37710203056-2631
19Cremonese37412213469-3524
RSampdoria37310242469-4519

Real Madrid Until The End
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