Serie A | Gameweek 18
Jan 14, 2023 at 5pm UK
Stadio Comunale Via del Mare
Lecce
2 - 2
AC Milan
More game data and we say below the videos
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Spezia 0-0 Lecce
Sunday, January 8 at 2pm in Serie A
Sunday, January 8 at 2pm in Serie A
We said: Lecce 0-2 AC Milan
Curiously, Lecce are one of two sides yet to score during the first 15 minutes of play in Serie A this season; Milan have netted seven times in the same period (the joint-most in Italy's top flight). The hosts cannot afford a slow start on Saturday, though, as their visitors will be fired up by recent setbacks and are likely to come out all guns blazing. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AC Milan win with a probability of 57.25%. A draw had a probability of 22.6% and a win for Lecce had a probability of 20.16%.
The most likely scoreline for an AC Milan win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.71%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.9%) and 1-2 (9.9%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.71%), while for a Lecce win it was 1-0 (5.8%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4.9% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Lecce | Draw | AC Milan |
20.16% ( -0.02) | 22.6% ( -0.01) | 57.25% ( 0.04) |
| Both teams to score 53.25% ( 0) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 54.19% ( 0.02) | 45.81% ( -0.02) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 31.88% ( 0.02) | 68.12% ( -0.02) |
| Lecce Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 63.21% ( -0.01) | 36.79% ( 0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 26.42% ( -0.01) | 73.58% ( 0.02) |
| AC Milan Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 84.25% ( 0.02) | 15.75% ( -0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 55.13% ( 0.04) | 44.87% ( -0.04) |
| Score Analysis |
Lecce 20.16%
AC Milan 57.25%
Draw 22.6%
| Lecce | Draw | AC Milan |
| 1-0 @ 5.8% ( -0.01) 2-1 @ 5.36% ( -0)2-0 @ 2.9% ( -0)3-1 @ 1.79% ( -0)3-2 @ 1.65% ( -0)3-0 @ 0.97% ( -0)Other @ 1.7% Total : 20.16% | 1-1 @ 10.71% 0-0 @ 5.8% ( -0.01)2-2 @ 4.95% ( -0)3-3 @ 1.02% Other @ 0.13% Total : 22.6% | 0-1 @ 10.71% 0-2 @ 9.9% ( 0.01)1-2 @ 9.9% ( 0)0-3 @ 6.1% ( 0.01)1-3 @ 6.1% ( 0.01)2-3 @ 3.05% ( 0)0-4 @ 2.82% ( 0.01)1-4 @ 2.82% ( 0)2-4 @ 1.41% ( 0)0-5 @ 1.04% ( 0)1-5 @ 1.04% ( 0)Other @ 2.38% Total : 57.25% |
How you voted: Lecce vs AC Milan
Lecce
15.8%Draw
10.5%AC Milan
73.7%95
