Curiously, Lecce are one of two sides yet to score during the first 15 minutes of play in Serie A this season; Milan have netted seven times in the same period (the joint-most in Italy's top flight). The hosts cannot afford a slow start on Saturday, though, as their visitors will be fired up by recent setbacks and are likely to come out all guns blazing.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AC Milan win with a probability of 57.25%. A draw had a probability of 22.6% and a win for Lecce had a probability of 20.16%.
The most likely scoreline for an AC Milan win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.71%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.9%) and 1-2 (9.9%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.71%), while for a Lecce win it was 1-0 (5.8%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4.9% likelihood.
-0.02) 
0.04) 
