Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lecce win with a probability of 36.51%. A win for Sampdoria had a probability of 35.85% and a draw had a probability of 27.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Lecce win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.92%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.89%) and 0-2 (6.6%). The likeliest Sampdoria win was 1-0 (10.79%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.05%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 6.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Lecce would win this match.