Following Napoli's first slip-up, Milan will sense blood - and they now face a Roma side renowned for flunking against their top-six rivals.
In an intriguing clash of styles - the Rossoneri have scored the most open play goals in Serie A this season (28); the Giallorossi boast the best percentage from set-pieces (42%) - it is the home side that should come out on top.
Read more.
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AC Milan win with a probability of 49.97%. A draw had a probability of 25.9% and a win for Roma had a probability of 24.16%.
The most likely scoreline for an AC Milan win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.63%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.58%) and 2-1 (9.28%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.23%), while for a Roma win it was 0-1 (8.07%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4.5% likelihood.
0.44) 
-0.08) 
