

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Roma win with a probability of 67.91%. A draw had a probability of 19.4% and a win for Bologna had a probability of 12.67%.
The most likely scoreline for a Roma win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.5%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (11.98%) and 2-1 (9.63%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.23%), while for a Bologna win it was 0-1 (4.42%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 12% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Roma would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Roma | Draw | Bologna |
| 67.91% ( | 19.42% ( | 12.67% ( |
| Both teams to score 47.05% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 54.41% ( | 45.58% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 32.09% ( | 67.91% ( |
| Roma Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 87.59% ( | 12.4% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 61.71% ( | 38.29% ( |
| Bologna Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 53.72% ( | 46.28% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 18.06% ( | 81.94% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Roma | Draw | Bologna |
| 2-0 @ 12.5% ( 1-0 @ 11.98% ( 2-1 @ 9.63% ( 3-0 @ 8.7% ( 3-1 @ 6.7% ( 4-0 @ 4.54% ( 4-1 @ 3.5% ( 3-2 @ 2.58% ( 5-0 @ 1.9% ( 5-1 @ 1.46% ( 4-2 @ 1.35% ( Other @ 3.07% Total : 67.91% | 1-1 @ 9.23% ( 0-0 @ 5.74% ( 2-2 @ 3.71% ( Other @ 0.73% Total : 19.42% | 0-1 @ 4.42% ( 1-2 @ 3.56% ( 0-2 @ 1.7% ( 2-3 @ 0.95% ( 1-3 @ 0.91% ( Other @ 1.12% Total : 12.67% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| C | Napoli | 37 | 27 | 6 | 4 | 75 | 28 | 47 | 87 |
| 2 | Lazio | 37 | 21 | 8 | 8 | 58 | 30 | 28 | 71 |
| 3 | Inter Milan | 37 | 22 | 3 | 12 | 70 | 42 | 28 | 69 |
| 4 | AC Milan | 37 | 19 | 10 | 8 | 61 | 42 | 19 | 67 |
| 5 | Atalanta BCAtalanta | 37 | 18 | 7 | 12 | 61 | 46 | 15 | 61 |
| 6 | Roma | 37 | 17 | 9 | 11 | 48 | 37 | 11 | 60 |
| 7 | Juventus | 37 | 21 | 6 | 10 | 55 | 33 | 22 | 59 |
| 8 | Torino | 37 | 14 | 11 | 12 | 42 | 40 | 2 | 53 |
| 9 | Fiorentina | 37 | 14 | 11 | 12 | 50 | 42 | 8 | 53 |
| 10 | Monza | 37 | 14 | 10 | 13 | 46 | 47 | -1 | 52 |
| 11 | Bologna | 37 | 13 | 12 | 12 | 50 | 47 | 3 | 51 |
| 12 | Udinese | 37 | 11 | 13 | 13 | 47 | 47 | 0 | 46 |
| 13 | SassuoloSassuolo | 37 | 12 | 9 | 16 | 46 | 58 | -12 | 45 |
| 14 | Empoli | 37 | 10 | 13 | 14 | 37 | 47 | -10 | 43 |
| 15 | Salernitana | 37 | 9 | 15 | 13 | 48 | 60 | -12 | 42 |
| 16 | Lecce | 37 | 8 | 12 | 17 | 31 | 43 | -12 | 36 |
| 17 | SpeziaSpezia | 37 | 6 | 13 | 18 | 30 | 60 | -30 | 31 |
| 18 | Hellas VeronaHellas Verona | 37 | 7 | 10 | 20 | 30 | 56 | -26 | 31 |
| 19 | Cremonese | 37 | 4 | 12 | 21 | 34 | 69 | -35 | 24 |
| R | Sampdoria | 37 | 3 | 10 | 24 | 24 | 69 | -45 | 19 |
| > Serie A Full Table | |||||||||
