

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Monza win with a probability of 59.95%. A draw had a probability of 21.6% and a win for Bologna had a probability of 18.49%.
The most likely scoreline for a Monza win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.33%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.1%) and 2-1 (9.95%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.18%), while for a Bologna win it was 0-1 (5.21%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-2 win for Bologna in this match.
| Result | ||
| Monza | Draw | Bologna |
| 59.95% ( | 21.56% ( | 18.49% ( |
| Both teams to score 53.79% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 56.32% ( | 43.68% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 33.93% ( | 66.07% ( |
| Monza Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 85.83% ( | 14.16% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 58.15% ( | 41.85% ( |
| Bologna Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 62.66% ( | 37.34% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 25.88% ( | 74.12% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Monza | Draw | Bologna |
| 1-0 @ 10.33% ( 2-0 @ 10.1% ( 2-1 @ 9.95% ( 3-0 @ 6.58% ( 3-1 @ 6.48% ( 4-0 @ 3.22% ( 3-2 @ 3.19% ( 4-1 @ 3.17% ( 4-2 @ 1.56% ( 5-0 @ 1.26% ( 5-1 @ 1.24% ( Other @ 2.87% Total : 59.95% | 1-1 @ 10.18% ( 0-0 @ 5.29% ( 2-2 @ 4.9% ( 3-3 @ 1.05% ( Other @ 0.14% Total : 21.56% | 0-1 @ 5.21% ( 1-2 @ 5.02% ( 0-2 @ 2.57% ( 1-3 @ 1.65% ( 2-3 @ 1.61% ( Other @ 2.44% Total : 18.49% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| C | Napoli | 37 | 27 | 6 | 4 | 75 | 28 | 47 | 87 |
| 2 | Lazio | 37 | 21 | 8 | 8 | 58 | 30 | 28 | 71 |
| 3 | Inter Milan | 37 | 22 | 3 | 12 | 70 | 42 | 28 | 69 |
| 4 | AC Milan | 37 | 19 | 10 | 8 | 61 | 42 | 19 | 67 |
| 5 | Atalanta BCAtalanta | 37 | 18 | 7 | 12 | 61 | 46 | 15 | 61 |
| 6 | Roma | 37 | 17 | 9 | 11 | 48 | 37 | 11 | 60 |
| 7 | Juventus | 37 | 21 | 6 | 10 | 55 | 33 | 22 | 59 |
| 8 | Fiorentina | 37 | 14 | 11 | 12 | 50 | 42 | 8 | 53 |
| 9 | Torino | 37 | 14 | 11 | 12 | 42 | 40 | 2 | 53 |
| 10 | Monza | 37 | 14 | 10 | 13 | 46 | 47 | -1 | 52 |
| 11 | Bologna | 37 | 13 | 12 | 12 | 50 | 47 | 3 | 51 |
| 12 | Udinese | 37 | 11 | 13 | 13 | 47 | 47 | 0 | 46 |
| 13 | SassuoloSassuolo | 37 | 12 | 9 | 16 | 46 | 58 | -12 | 45 |
| 14 | Empoli | 37 | 10 | 13 | 14 | 37 | 47 | -10 | 43 |
| 15 | Salernitana | 37 | 9 | 15 | 13 | 48 | 60 | -12 | 42 |
| 16 | Lecce | 37 | 8 | 12 | 17 | 31 | 43 | -12 | 36 |
| 17 | Hellas VeronaHellas Verona | 37 | 7 | 10 | 20 | 30 | 56 | -26 | 31 |
| 18 | SpeziaSpezia | 37 | 6 | 13 | 18 | 30 | 60 | -30 | 31 |
| 19 | Cremonese | 37 | 4 | 12 | 21 | 34 | 69 | -35 | 24 |
| R | Sampdoria | 37 | 3 | 10 | 24 | 24 | 69 | -45 | 19 |
| > Serie A Full Table | |||||||||
