Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Monza win with a probability of 41.47%. A win for Juventus had a probability of 33.79% and a draw had a probability of 24.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Monza win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.85%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.53%) and 2-0 (6.52%). The likeliest Juventus win was 1-2 (7.86%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.57%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 8.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Monza would win this match.